MAC · 2018 · Final

Toledo Rockets 2018

7-65-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#58
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+1.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.2
15th in FBS
Defense
-5.5
103rd in FBS
Schedule
-4.9
108th toughest
Preseason
+2.5
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.6 now, +2.5 preseason · down 18 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#58

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsVMI FCSW 66–3+13.9—ESPN3
2—Bye
3Sep 15vs29MiamiL 24–49-20.4—ESPN2
4Sep 22vs83NevadaW 63–44+14.2—CBSSN
5Sep 29@11Fresno StateL 27–49-7.8—ESPNU
6Oct 6vs125Bowling GreenCONFW 52–36-0.9—ESPN+
7Oct 13@75Eastern MichiganCONFL 26–280.0—ESPN+
8Oct 20vs52BuffaloCONFL 17–31-14.2—ESPN+
9Oct 25@93Western MichiganCONFW 51–24+22.9—ESPN2
10Oct 31vs113Ball StateCONFW 45–13+13.1—ESPN2
11Nov 7@82Northern IllinoisCONFL 15–38-22.8—ESPN2
12Nov 15@124Kent StateCONFW 56–34+11.0—CBSSN
13Nov 23vs122Central MichiganCONFW 51–13+13.2—ESPN3
BowlsDec 21vs72Florida InternationalNEUTRALL 32–35-3.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.5%36th43.7%82nd
Rushing success rate49.5%20th45.0%83rd
Passing success rate40.7%79th42.3%76th
Explosive run rate20.0%8th15.5%69th
Explosive pass rate10.7%73rd12.6%101st
Line yards / carry3.556th2.9866th
Opportunity rate49.3%4th37.9%67th
Stuff rate15.7%22nd20.4%41st
Sack rate5.1%42nd5.6%74th
3rd-down conversion39.2%81st36.2%27th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%48th75.8%118th
Havoc rate10.6%25th13.7%44th
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.425th30.767th
Yards / game443.930th——
Yards / play6.0332nd——
Pass yards / game227.969th——
Yards / pass att.7.5063rd——
Completion %55.7%99th——
Rush yards / game215.925th——
Yards / carry5.2820th——
3rd-down conv. %36.7%93rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3174th——
Penalty yards / game71.6120th——

Players

74 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

74 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →