12-27-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#11
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+11.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.0
55th in FBS
Defense
+10.8
4th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
88th toughest
Preseason
+2.8
rating going in
2018 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+11.7 now, +2.8 preseason · up 25 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Idaho FCS | W 79–13 | +14.9 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 48Minnesota | L 14–21 | -1.3 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 91UCLA | W 38–14 | +22.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 58Toledo | W 49–27 | +21.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 83NevadaCONF | W 21–3 | +18.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 88WyomingCONF | W 27–3 | +18.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 109New MexicoCONF | W 38–7 | +18.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 101Hawai'iCONF | W 50–20 | +16.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 107UNLVCONF | W 48–3 | +24.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 23Boise StateCONF | L 17–24 | +4.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 87San Diego StateCONF | W 23–14 | +3.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 123San Jose StateCONF | W 31–13 | +2.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 1 | @23Boise State | W 19–16 | +14.3 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 15 | vs 49Arizona StateNEUTRAL | W 31–20 | +14.2 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.3% | 23rd | 35.0% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 80th | 34.6% | 5th |
| Passing success rate | 50.6% | 8th | 35.4% | 18th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.9% | 126th | 10.8% | 12th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.5% | 32nd | 5.8% | 2nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 98th | 2.94 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.6% | 115th | 32.9% | 12th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 84th | 16.0% | 104th |
| Sack rate | 2.6% | 7th | 4.8% | 99th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.9% | 40th | 35.1% | 20th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.7% | 8th | 47.6% | 8th |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 21st | 13.1% | 56th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.4 | 55th | 14.3 | 3rd |
| Yards / game | 421.5 | 47th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.19 | 18th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 267.1 | 29th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.50 | 15th | — | — |
| Completion % | 68.4% | 6th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 154.4 | 87th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.31 | 72nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.3% | 25th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.86 | 6th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.8 | 25th | — | — |
Players
66 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
66 players
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →