MAC · 2026
Toledo Rockets
Head coach Mike Jacobs · Glass Bowl
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#59
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+1.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.1
24th in FBS
Defense
-2.5
98th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.1
90th toughest
Projected
8.6-3.4
bowl-eligible 97%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
+1.6 now, +3.9 preseason · down 31 spots since preseason
Final record odds
8.6-3.4 expected · most likely 9-3 (26%)
Team Leaders
Passing
John Alan Richter
QB · JR · 17th in FBS
877yds
9 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Connor Walendzak
RB · 111th in FBS
172yds
25 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Adjatay Dabbs
WR · JR · 64th in FBS
223yds
16 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Julian Fox
LB · JR · 26th in FBS
27tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Andrew Zock
DE · 116th in FBS
1.5sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Isaac Zay
LB · 35th in FBS
1INT
3 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 48Michigan State | L 20–30 | -4.3 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs Central Connecticut FCS | W 63–10 | +6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 87Temple | W 49–48 | -4.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 76San Diego State | Toledo −6.1 · o/u 53.3 | — | CBSSN | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 130Ball StateCONF | Toledo −10.4 · o/u 57.9 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 129BuffaloCONF | Toledo −15.2 · o/u 58.4 | — | ||
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 132Eastern MichiganCONF | Toledo −10.8 · o/u 56.7 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 54Western MichiganCONF | Toledo −2.2 · o/u 53.0 | — | ||
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 133Sacramento StateCONF | Toledo −11.0 · o/u 52.8 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 110MassachusettsCONF | Toledo −10.3 · o/u 56.3 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 138Bowling GreenCONF | Toledo −21.0 · o/u 52.2 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 103OhioCONF | Toledo −3.3 · o/u 63.9 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.314 | 27th | +0.046 | 63rd |
| Success rate | 45.7% | 55th | 36.4% | 40th |
| Explosiveness | 1.588 | 1st | 1.270 | 80th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.4% | 47th | 37.4% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.6% | 58th | 35.2% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 46.2% | 52nd | 40.2% | 72nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.1% | 93rd | 13.0% | 85th |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.5% | 27th | 6.5% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 96th | 3.03 | 82nd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.2% | 104th | 31.5% | 33rd |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 68th | 17.6% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 2.2% | 29th | 6.1% | 50th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.4% | 43rd | 43.9% | 102nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 100.0% | 1st | 66.7% | 73rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 65th | 10.0% | 126th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.0 | 18th | 29.3 | 112th |
| Yards / game | 459.3 | 40th | 320.3 | 62nd |
| Yards / play | 7.07 | 22nd | 4.39 | 36th |
| Pass yards / game | 312.7 | 17th | 159.0 | 26th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.10 | 28th | 5.30 | 15th |
| Completion % | 64.1% | 71st | 56.7% | 38th |
| Rush yards / game | 146.7 | 92nd | 161.3 | 104th |
| Yards / carry | 4.90 | 50th | 3.94 | 79th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.6% | 35th | 38.8% | 81st |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 75th | 0.67 | 107th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.67 | 10th | 2.00 | 56th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.7 | 33rd | 33.7 | 122nd |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Mike Jacobs
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | John Alan Richter | QB | JR | 6' 3" | 225 | Gray, GA |
| 7 | Khamoni Robinson | QB | JR | 6' 1" | 195 | Monroe, NC |
| 11 | Walter Moses | QB | FR | 6' 4" | 190 | Perry, OH |
| 13 | Jake DeHaan | QB | JR | 6' 2" | 203 | Byron Center, MI |
| 4 | Autavius Ison | RB | JR | 5' 11" | 190 | Atlanta, GA |
| 20 | Corey Smith | RB | SO | 5' 10" | 175 | Milwaukee, WI |
| 22 | CJ Miller | RB | JR | 5' 11" | 230 | Gadsden, AL |
| 23 | Noah Sanders | RB | FR | 5' 11" | 170 | Franklin, MI |
| 27 | Dane Nauman | RB | SO | 6' 0" | 210 | Marengo, OH |
| 29 | Tanner Rubinstein | FB | SR | 6' 3" | 235 | Napoleon, OH |
| 1 | Rico Bond | WR | SO | 177 | St. Louis, MO | |
| 2 | Trenton Jones | WR | FR | 5' 10" | 185 | Hastings, FL |
| 3 | Adjatay Dabbs | WR | JR | 6' 0" | 170 | Greeneville, TN |
| 5 | Terrell Crosby Jr. | WR | SR | 5' 10" | 182 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 9 | Kalvin Gilbert Jr. | WR | JR | 6' 4" | 181 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 10 | Seth Elchert | WR | FR | 6' 3" | 190 | Findlay, OH |
| 12 | Bryson Hammer | WR | JR | 5' 11" | 180 | Fremont, OH |
| 13 | Cooper Rusk | WR | SR | 5' 10" | 190 | Macedonia, OH |
| 14 | Tashi Braceful | WR | SO | 6' 2" | 187 | Southfield, MI |
| 19 | Daryl Barnett Jr. | WR | SO | 6' 2" | 195 | Toledo, OH |
| 83 | Omar Mims Jr. | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 165 | East St. Louis, IL |
| 85 | Anthony Simpson | WR | SR | 5' 11" | 186 | Hartford, CT |
| 43 | Sam Lee | TE | SR | 6' 6" | 238 | Toledo, OH |
| 80 | Peyton Strickland | TE | SR | 6' 3" | 235 | Goffstown, NH |
| 81 | Ethan Malafa | TE | SR | 6' 6" | 250 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 87 | Tucker Kelleher | TE | SO | 6' 6" | 225 | Alpharetta, GA |
| 88 | Jacob Newell | TE | SR | 6' 4" | 245 | Springfield, OR |
| 50 | Luke Rector | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 300 | Valdese, NC |
| 56 | Jacob Kropchak | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 296 | Rochester Hills, MI |
| 58 | Jake Palucki | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 270 | Tinley Park, IL |
| 60 | Jake Grimm | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 295 | Gahanna, OH |
| 62 | Christian Medlock | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 304 | Homewood, IL |
| 65 | Stephen Gales | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 290 | Alliance, OH |
| 69 | Dominic Johnson | OL | SO | 6' 3" | 290 | Ocala, FL |
| 70 | Nick Thomas | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 311 | East Orange, NJ |
| 71 | Matt Hofer | OL | SO | 6' 5" | 288 | Valparaiso, IN |
| 72 | Brian Mahoney | OL | JR | 6' 7" | 316 | Duxbury, MA |
| 73 | Jonathan Harder | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 330 | Delaware, OH |
| 74 | Ahmad Carwise | OL | SO | 6' 5" | 300 | Piedmont, SC |
| 75 | Preston Dazey | OL | FR | |||
| 75 | Preston Dazey | OL | FR | Massillon | ||
| 76 | Vincenzo Pizzo | OL | FR | |||
| 76 | Vincenzo Pizzo | OL | FR | Saint Clair Shores | ||
| 78 | Dylan Senda | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 303 | Livonia, MI |
| 93 | Leonard Sharp | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 283 | Bedford, OH |
| 95 | Wayne Peart II | DL | SO | 6' 4" | 265 | Pembroke Pines, FL |
| 96 | Nathaniel Chandler | DL | JR | 6' 4" | 269 | Smyrna, DE |
| 2 | Ezra Odinjor | DE | JR | 6' 3" | 240 | Kennesaw, GA |
| 21 | Ben Sahakian | DE | SR | 6' 3" | 245 | Mount Prospect, IL |
| 37 | Desmond Okantey | DE | FR | 6' 2" | 242 | Westerville, OH |
| 51 | Zackery Samuel | DE | FR | 6' 1" | 251 | Sarasota, FL |
| 53 | Samuel Toniolo | DE | FR | 6' 4" | 245 | Avon, OH |
| 85 | Josh Lee | DE | SR | 6' 6" | 238 | Toledo, OH |
| 90 | Zach Johnson | DE | SO | 6' 3" | 240 | Ocala, FL |
| 92 | Tommy Huss | DE | JR | 6' 3" | 227 | Lambertville, MI |
| 97 | Brian Stovall Jr. | DE | FR | 6' 2" | 228 | Romulus, MI |
| 41 | Cam Gwinn | DT | FR | 6' 2" | 256 | Columbus, OH |
| 43 | Tyrell O'Neal | DT | FR | |||
| 43 | Tyrell O'Neal | DT | FR | Garfield Heights | ||
| 48 | Jordin Farrow | DT | FR | 6' 3" | 292 | Inkster, MI |
| 52 | Lucas Lambert-Pipkin | DT | JR | 6' 2" | 285 | Cranberry Township, PA |
| 91 | Laith Shamma | DT | JR | 6' 6" | 280 | Ann Arbor, MI |
| 94 | Adrian Love Jr. | DT | FR | 6' 2" | 290 | Tuscaloosa, AL |
| 98 | Micah Fils-Aime | DT | FR | 5' 11" | 275 | Naples, FL |
| 99 | Caden Camese | DT | SR | 6' 1" | 285 | Bellevue, NE |
| 5 | Damon Ollison II | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 224 | Akron, OH |
| 6 | Langston Long | LB | SR | 6' 3" | 225 | Woodbridge, VA |
| 10 | Julian Fox | LB | JR | 6' 1" | 220 | Cordele, GA |
| 13 | Kari Jackson | LB | SO | 6' 1" | 238 | West Bloomfield, MI |
| 19 | Isaac Prince | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 215 | Snellville, GA |
| 28 | Sam Smith Jr. | LB | JR | 6' 4" | 223 | Delta, OH |
| 29 | Jordan Fox | LB | FR | 5' 11" | 223 | Cordele, GA |
| 30 | Hayden Roy | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 200 | Lyons, GA |
| 31 | Maddox Arnold | LB | FR | 6' 2" | 225 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 36 | Nathan Gersh | LB | FR | |||
| 36 | Nathan Gersh | LB | FR | Dexter | ||
| 1 | Cam Jones | CB | JR | 5' 11" | 190 | Reading, PA |
| 8 | KJ Thomas | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 180 | Conyers, GA |
| 11 | Hyajah Miller | CB | SO | 6' 2" | 175 | North Lauderdale, FL |
| 20 | LaDavion Osborn | CB | SR | 6' 1" | 183 | Tyler, TX |
| 23 | Israel Petite | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 170 | Macedonia, OH |
| 24 | Bo Jacobs | CB | FR | 6' 0" | 185 | Fairburn, GA |
| 25 | Tyrell Russell | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 175 | Columbus, OH |
| 7 | Armorion Smith | S | SR | 6' 1" | 212 | River Rouge, MI |
| 12 | Mo Conteh | S | SR | 6' 0" | 190 | Columbus, OH |
| 15 | Michael-Arinze Ezirim | S | SO | 6' 1" | 183 | Dublin, OH |
| 17 | Kaleb Hutchinson | S | SR | 6' 0" | 185 | Augusta, GA |
| 22 | Nicholas Thompson | S | JR | 6' 2" | 206 | Fort Wayne, IN |
| 26 | Tyler Hackenbracht | S | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Massillon, OH |
| 27 | Ziiyahn Blair | S | FR | |||
| 27 | Ziiyahn Blair | S | FR | Akron | ||
| 33 | Andrew Fineske | S | SO | 6' 1" | 190 | Sylvania, OH |
| 39 | Dylan Hohler | S | JR | 6' 4" | 196 | Huron, OH |
| 39 | Anthony Ruggles | PK | FR | 5' 9" | 170 | Youngstown, OH |
| 93 | Reice Griffith | PK | SR | 5' 11" | 170 | Pace, FL |
| 36 | Emilio Duran | P | SR | 6' 0" | 200 | Ottawa Hills, OH |
| 46 | Hunter Probst | P | FR | 6' 5" | 210 | Santa Rosa, CA |
| 47 | Markus Meincke | P | JR | 6' 7" | 220 | Hamburg, Germany |
| 45 | Reece Strittmatter | LS | FR | 6' 5" | 200 | Adel, IA |
| 49 | Max Allen | LS | FR | 6' 4" | 205 | Holly Springs, NC |
Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →