The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Long Island University FCS | W 37–0 | +5.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 131Massachusetts | W 55–10 | +10.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 2Ohio State | L 21–77 | -14.1 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 77San Diego State | L 14–17 | -3.2 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 107Central MichiganCONF | W 38–17 | +11.4 | — | NFL Net |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 119Northern IllinoisCONF | W 52–32 | +12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 89Kent StateCONF | W 52–31 | +14.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 91BuffaloCONF | L 27–34 | -9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 92Eastern MichiganCONF | W 27–24 | +0.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 103Ball StateCONF | W 28–21 | -2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 122Bowling GreenCONF | L 35–42 | -20.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 112Western MichiganCONF | L 14–20 | -12.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 75OhioNEUTRAL | W 17–7 | +8.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 73LibertyNEUTRAL | W 21–19 | +0.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.3% | 66th | 34.4% | 4th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.7% | 70th | 35.9% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 65th | 32.8% | 5th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.7% | 75th | 15.0% | 84th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 39th | 7.7% | 13th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.07 | 77th | 3.03 | 52nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 42nd | 35.4% | 29th |
| Stuff rate | 17.6% | 90th | 14.0% | 97th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 50th | 7.4% | 26th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.1% | 36th | 34.8% | 26th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.4% | 15th | 67.6% | 102nd |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 104th | 9.4% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.3 | 48th | 25.2 | 55th |
| Yards / game | 402.2 | 54th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 75th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 224.6 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 74th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.2% | 107th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 177.6 | 48th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.27 | 65th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.7% | 48th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.86 | 116th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 55th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.0 | 73rd | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →