The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 88Southern Miss | W 29–27 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 65UAB | W 21–14 | +5.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 24Wake Forest | L 36–37 | +8.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 124Akron | W 21–12 | -5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 105Old Dominion | W 38–24 | +9.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 131Massachusetts | W 42–24 | +1.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 21–20 | -22.2 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 67BYU | W 41–14 | +23.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 40Arkansas | W 21–19 | +8.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 110UConn | L 33–36 | -9.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 98Virginia Tech | L 22–23 | -9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 109New Mexico State | L 14–49 | -38.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 69ToledoNEUTRAL | L 19–21 | -1.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.8% | 75th | 36.4% | 7th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.5% | 52nd | 38.3% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 37.1% | 106th | 34.6% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.0% | 14th | 13.4% | 51st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 68th | 9.8% | 54th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.30 | 34th | 2.57 | 2nd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 29th | 35.5% | 30th |
| Stuff rate | 17.5% | 88th | 24.1% | 6th |
| Sack rate | 9.8% | 125th | 9.3% | 8th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.4% | 105th | 33.3% | 14th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.3% | 50th | 50.0% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 122nd | 13.3% | 2nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.7 | 72nd | 24.6 | 52nd |
| Yards / game | 388.9 | 66th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.44 | 71st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 216.5 | 88th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.11 | 76th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.1% | 90th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 172.3 | 51st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 53rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.8% | 90th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.08 | 121st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.15 | 112th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.5 | 66th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →