
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 98Virginia Tech | W 20–17 | -5.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 56East Carolina | L 21–39 | -13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 97Virginia | L 14–16 | -5.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 118Arkansas StateCONF | W 29–26 | -8.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 73Liberty | L 24–38 | -17.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 81Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 49–21 | +24.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 85Georgia SouthernCONF | L 23–28 | -11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 79Georgia StateCONF | L 17–31 | -14.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 57MarshallCONF | L 0–12 | -11.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 46James MadisonCONF | L 3–37 | -26.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 62Appalachian StateCONF | L 14–27 | -8.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 58South AlabamaCONF | L 20–27 | -2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.0% | 127th | 43.5% | 75th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.1% | 119th | 42.9% | 47th |
| Passing success rate | 33.1% | 121st | 44.4% | 100th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.3% | 102nd | 14.9% | 82nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.6% | 48th | 12.1% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 116th | 3.19 | 85th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.7% | 79th | 37.6% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.5% | 69th | 16.5% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 104th | 7.4% | 26th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 29.4% | 128th | 42.3% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.8% | 99th | 44.4% | 8th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 80th | 8.5% | 65th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.5 | 116th | 26.6 | 63rd |
| Yards / game | 339.7 | 106th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.32 | 79th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 247.2 | 51st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.08 | 78th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.6% | 104th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 92.5 | 125th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.56 | 102nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.6% | 123rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 103rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.5 | 106th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →