MAC · 2026

Massachusetts Minutemen

Head coach Joe Harasymiak · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
4-41-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#128
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-18.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-11.0
130th in FBS
Defense
-7.5
120th in FBS
Schedule so far
-17.4
138th toughest
Projected
5.8-6.2
bowl-eligible 63%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-18.4 now, -32.6 preseason · up 10 spots since preseason
-30-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#128

Final record odds

5.8-6.2 expected · most likely 6-6 (41%)
7%4-830%5-741%6-620%7-58-4

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@94RutgersW 37–21 ›+12.6—BTN
2Sep 12vsSacred Heart FCSW 37–10 ›-11.0—ESPN+
3Sep 19vsStonehill FCSW 36–14 ›-15.2—ESPN+
4Sep 26@138Sacramento StateCONFW 35–6 ›+2.0—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs124Eastern MichiganCONFL 14–38 ›-43.5—ESPN+
6Oct 10vs97Miami (OH)CONFL 19–20 ›-12.8—ESPN+
7Oct 17@126BuffaloCONFL 18–25 ›-21.5—ESPN+
8Oct 23@80UConnL 16–35 ›-18.2—CBSSN
9—Bye
10Nov 4vs131Ball StateCONFMassachusetts −5.6 · o/u 52.1—65%ESPNU
11Nov 11@77ToledoCONFToledo −20.0 · o/u 52.5—9%
12Nov 18vs132AkronCONFMassachusetts −5.8 · o/u 52.0—65%
13Nov 28@127Bowling GreenCONFBowling Green −3.9 · o/u 44.0—40%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.12770th+0.00528th
Success rate41.1%84th39.1%41st
Explosiveness1.22181st1.14023rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.9%80th38.9%38th
Rushing success rate43.3%75th40.1%47th
Passing success rate40.4%83rd37.5%35th
Explosive run rate13.5%74th12.6%58th
Explosive pass rate9.8%82nd6.0%9th
Line yards / carry3.3036th3.22103rd
Opportunity rate41.4%36th39.6%94th
Stuff rate15.3%43rd15.8%96th
Sack rate4.9%60th8.0%18th
3rd-down conversion34.5%117th36.0%35th
Red-zone TD rate55.0%98th61.1%79th
Havoc rate11.5%32nd14.9%47th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.583rd21.142nd
Yards / game334.6115th324.136th
Yards / play5.5575th4.6626th
Pass yards / game187.9112th181.929th
Yards / pass att.7.2081st6.0122nd
Completion %65.9%37th56.2%17th
Rush yards / game146.884th142.370th
Yards / carry4.5056th3.8757th
3rd-down conv. %32.0%125th36.3%54th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th1.6222nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3831st2.5037th
Penalty yards / game68.0110th61.341st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.1
25th of 138
YAC per catch
4.2
126th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
17%
37th of 138
Shotgun
89%
119th of 138
No-huddle
33%
94th of 138
QB pressured
13%
75th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
98th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
109th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws205 throws charted

66% comp10.1 avg. depth4.2 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds9–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (9%), 16 caught (89%), 53 yds, 2.9 per throw1889% · 53yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 17 caught (89%), 83 yds, 4.4 per throw1989% · 83yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 12 caught (75%), 124 yds, 7.8 per throw1675% · 124yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw650% · 37yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 84 yds, 16.8 per throw560% · 84yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 93 yds, 18.6 per throw560% · 93yLeft, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 65 yds, 8.1 per throw825% · 65yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 14 yds, 4.7 per throw3100% · 14yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 10 caught (77%), 74 yds, 5.7 per throw1377% · 74yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 6 caught (43%), 67 yds, 4.8 per throw1443% · 67yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 88 yds, 9.8 per throw967% · 88yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 72 yds, 10.3 per throw757% · 72yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 21 yds, 10.5 per throw250% · 21yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 100 yds, 12.5 per throw825% · 100yRight, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 14 yds, 2.3 per throw683% · 14yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 19 caught (76%), 104 yds, 4.2 per throw2576% · 104yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 12 caught (67%), 146 yds, 8.1 per throw1867% · 146yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 96 yds, 12.0 per throw875% · 96yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 91 yds, 22.8 per throw4100% · 91yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw633% · 47yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 30 yds, 6.0 per throw520% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on231 throws charted

55% comp8.3 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds10–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 10 caught (71%), 60 yds, 4.3 per throw1471% · 60yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 15 caught (79%), 104 yds, 5.5 per throw1979% · 104yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 96 yds, 6.4 per throw1573% · 96yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 66 yds, 5.5 per throw1233% · 66yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 91 yds, 11.4 per throw863% · 91yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 47 yds, 6.7 per throw729% · 47yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 78 yds, 39.0 per throw250% · 78yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), -1 yds, -0.5 per throw250% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 90 yds, 6.0 per throw1567% · 90yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 8 caught (62%), 69 yds, 5.3 per throw1362% · 69yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 7 caught (47%), 125 yds, 8.3 per throw1547% · 125yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 18 yds, 6.0 per throw333% · 18yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 70 yds, 23.3 per throw367% · 70yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 30 yds, 3.0 per throw1070% · 30yRight, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (13%), 20 caught (65%), 131 yds, 4.2 per throw3165% · 131yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 16 caught (57%), 136 yds, 4.9 per throw2857% · 136yRight, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 8 caught (47%), 101 yds, 5.9 per throw1747% · 101yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 20 yds, 6.7 per throw333% · 20yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 2 caught (20%), 53 yds, 5.3 per throw1020% · 53yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw333% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction243 carries

Left
26%
5.0 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
50%
4.4 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
24%
6.6 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced266 carries

Left
25%
5.6 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
59%
4.1 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
15%
6.0 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Joe Harasymiak

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5William Watson IIIQBSR6' 0"210Springfield, MA
7Will PerryQBJR6' 2"205Andover, MA
10Ty McCutcheonQBJR6' 3"200Honolulu, HI
13Aedan McCarthyQBFR6' 5"230Bluffton, SC
16Logan InagawaQBSO5' 11"210Peachtree City, GA
0Jordan WashingtonRBJR6' 1"215Helena, AL
4Da'Marion AlbericRBJR5' 10"190West Palm Beach, FL
14Curtis Kimmons IVRBSR5' 11"230Orlando, FL
20Ricardo LaboyRBJR5' 10"185Bedford, MA
22TK DavisRBFR5' 10"190Washington, DC
23Elijah FaulknerRBSO5' 9"195Pittsburgh, PA
33Justin LewisRBFR5' 10"200Los Angeles, CA
1Joseph Griffin Jr.WRSR6' 4"210Springfield, MA
2T.Y. HardingWRSR5' 9"185Cambridge, MA
3Elijah PedroWRSO6' 1"190Upper Marlboro, MD
8Kezion Dia-JohnsonWRJR6' 0"185Phoenix, AZ
9Devin MatthewsWRSR5' 9"200Seguin, TX
12David Moore Jr.WRFR5' 11"180West Orange, NJ
15Tavian DashiellWRFR6' 0"170Salisbury, MD
17Dallas ElliottWRSR6' 3"200Leeds, MA
19Jabari LewisWRSR5' 11"190Miami, FL
21Kai OwensWRFR6' 2"190Carpentersville, IL
80Isaiah SimmonsWRFR5' 9"175Boston, MA
85Drew AlsupWRFR5' 9"175Groveland, MA
11Max DowlingTESR6' 6"260Buffalo, NY
18Matt OgunniyiTEJR6' 5"235Landover, MD
83Reece AdkinsTESR6' 6"260Orlando, FL
86Jax MarkovichTESO6' 4"250Scottsdale, AZ
87Owen AndersonTESR6' 4"260Skillman, NJ
88John CondakesTEJR6' 3"250Dedham, MA
89Matthew TyborTEFR6' 4"260Tolland, CT
35Magnus Von SaldernOLSR6' 4"280Berlin, Germany
55Ben NoomeOLFR6' 9"310Redding, CT
57Garrett CooperOLSO6' 6"315Delmar, DE
59Nick DalessandroOLSR6' 4"305Chagrin Falls, OH
63Aidan Canty-WhittOLFR6' 3"320Concord, MA
64Peyton MillerOLSR6' 3"330Westernport, MD
65Samu SuominenOLSO6' 4"330Vaasa, Finland
66Greg Knox IIIOLSR6' 6"315Alexandria, LA
67Will McNamaraOLFR6' 5"285Colpy's Bay, Canada
69Brock TaylorOLJR6' 3"350Hanover, VA
73Zachary FranksOLSR6' 6"310Baltimore, MD
74Jake McGrathOLFR6' 6"310Charlestown, MA
75Tanner BurlingameOLJR6' 5"305Endwell, NY
76Riley BlochOLJR6' 3"310Needham, MA
77Jaxon KingOLSR6' 7"315Placerville, CA
78Greg KlingensmithOLSR6' 5"325Apollo, PA
79Aitor UrionabarrenecheaOLSR6' 5"350Lancaster, CA
2Joshua NoblesDLSR6' 4"270Camden, NJ
9Justin KruegerDLJR6' 4"270Marietta, GA
10Aubrey MelvinDLSO6' 3"325Brandywine, MD
11Jerry WashingtonDLSO6' 2"255Glendale, AZ
17Zachary BettsDLJR6' 2"250Bowie, MD
26CJ AmobiDLFR6' 3"245Upper Darby, PA
34Payton AndradeDLSR6' 1"240Watertown, MA
42Andrew DePaepeDLJR6' 5"260Bettendorf, IA
55Zakar MorrisDLJR6' 2"300Poughkeepsie, NY
58Donovan MurphyDLFR6' 4"255Glenarden, MD
88Samuel MulbahDLFR6' 3"265Harrisburg, PA
90Tim Passmore Jr.DLSR6' 2"340Cocoa, FL
92Romando JohnsonDLSO6' 3"250Lauderhill, FL
94Colin ReynoldsDLSR6' 3"260Westford, MA
95Hollis DirstineDLSR6' 2"290Acton, MA
97Robert EkinsDLFR6' 2"285Butler, NJ
98William DePaepeDLJR6' 6"260Bettendorf, IA
99Kamarion ThomasDLSO6' 3"295Saint Albans, NY
5Tyler MartinLBSR6' 2"240Acton, MA
6Joshua IseahLBSR6' 2"240Charlotte, NC
15Khari BendolphLBSO6' 1"220Broward County, FL
16Kendric CouncilLBJR6' 2"230Upper Marlboro, MD
18Dinos DrossosLBSO6' 2"215Tucson, AZ
36David TimsonLBSO5' 10"225Beverly, MA
40Moritz StrempelLBFR6' 3"230Cologne, Germany
44Timmy HinspeterLBSR6' 1"235Montgomery, NY
8Michael RobinsonDBSR5' 11"200Montclair, NJ
0Isaiah ReedCBSR6' 0"180Tampa, FL
4Chris StanleyCBJR6' 0"185Akron, OH
7TJ MageeCBSR5' 10"195Baton Rouge, LA
12Corey WarnerCBFR5' 11"195Louisville, KY
13Raheim SexilCBJR6' 1"200Bradenton, FL
21Terron JohnsonCBFR5' 11"180Harlem, NY
23JC ClarkCBSO5' 10"175Dayton, OH
28Ahkir MorganCBFR5' 10"185West Orange, NJ
1DD SnyderSSR6' 0"200Tampa, FL
3Kendall BournesSSR6' 0"205Union, NJ
14Jose TouronSJR5' 10"180Taunton, MA
19David ChiavegatoSFR5' 11"190Falmouth, MA
20Keith SarkodiehSJR6' 2"195Worcester, MA
22Jahmad HarmonSSR5' 10"180Indianapolis, IN
24Ted MondesirSFR6' 2"200Hamilton, NJ
25Anochie Azuakolam Jr.SSO6' 2"185Dorchester, MA
27Michael PangaroSJR6' 1"185Cheshire, CT
29Kareem PruittSFR6' 3"180Lansing, MI
38Zeraun DanielSSR6' 1"220Harlem, NY
33Seamus McIntyrePKFR6' 2"230Concord, NH
99Derek MorrisPKJR6' 2"205Dayton, OH
43Edward PhillipsonPJR6' 4"220Melbourne, Australia
46Michael StreeterPSO6' 4"220Werribee, Australia
51Grant MillsLSJR5' 10"225Mooresville, NC
56James HortonLSJR6' 0"215Westport, CT

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (-7.4, #104) · worst: 2019 (-28.3, #130)
-30-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#136
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-41-3#128-18.4-11.0-7.5
20250-120-8#136-23.9-12.6-11.3
20242-10—#126-12.8-3.7-9.1
20233-9—#128-13.2-3.5-9.7
20221-11—#131-18.6-13.5-5.1
20211-11—#130-21.3-11.1-10.1
20200-4—#127-21.0-13.3-7.7
20191-11—#130-28.3-7.7-20.6
20184-8—#112-11.0+1.7-12.7
20174-8—#104-7.4+0.7-8.0
20162-10—#116-12.0-4.4-7.5
20153-92-6#105-10.2-5.1-5.1
20143-93-5#114-11.1-3.7-7.4

Massachusetts's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →