
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 99Temple | L 10–42 | -35.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Bryant FCS | L 26–27 | -25.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 14Iowa | L 7–47 | -15.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 28Missouri | L 6–42 | -18.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 67Western MichiganCONF | L 3–21 | -20.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 129Kent StateCONF | L 6–42 | -38.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 109BuffaloCONF | L 21–28 | -17.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 96Central MichiganCONF | L 13–38 | -27.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 4 | @ 120AkronCONF | L 10–44 | -35.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 12 | vs 119Northern IllinoisCONF | L 3–45 | -44.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 18 | @ 68OhioCONF | L 14–42 | -22.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 25 | vs 113Bowling GreenCONF | L 14–45 | -38.0 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 33.1% | 135th | 48.6% | 130th |
| Rushing success rate | 33.7% | 136th | 48.7% | 124th |
| Passing success rate | 32.6% | 131st | 48.5% | 131st |
| Explosive run rate | 10.1% | 125th | 14.1% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 4.4% | 136th | 11.5% | 108th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.33 | 136th | 3.56 | 134th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.6% | 136th | 42.7% | 122nd |
| Stuff rate | 26.2% | 136th | 11.0% | 135th |
| Sack rate | 8.4% | 124th | 4.5% | 107th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.6% | 129th | 48.0% | 128th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 45.0% | 121st | 74.4% | 132nd |
| Havoc rate | 15.3% | 127th | 7.0% | 136th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 11.1 | 136th | 38.6 | 133rd |
| Yards / game | 247.5 | 136th | 433.8 | 129th |
| Yards / play | 3.70 | 136th | 6.21 | 126th |
| Pass yards / game | 165.1 | 120th | 205.2 | 63rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 4.77 | 136th | 8.59 | 131st |
| Completion % | 53.7% | 132nd | 67.3% | 129th |
| Rush yards / game | 82.4 | 133rd | 221.3 | 134th |
| Yards / carry | 2.81 | 131st | 5.04 | 126th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.7% | 132nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 78th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 120th | 1.25 | 124th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.4 | 23rd | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →