The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Lafayette FCS | W 26–7 | -5.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 58Cincinnati | L 20–34 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 101Liberty | W 23–13 | +1.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 24Louisville | L 17–40 | -12.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 68OhioCONF | L 20–35 | -12.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 33ToledoCONF | W 28–23 | +8.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 96Central MichiganCONF | L 6–27 | -29.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 129Kent StateCONF | L 21–24 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 109BuffaloCONF | L 3–28 | -34.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 117Eastern MichiganCONF | L 21–27 | -13.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 18 | vs 120AkronCONF | L 16–19 | -16.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 25 | @ 136MassachusettsCONF | W 45–14 | +5.3 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.0% | 128th | 40.4% | 45th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.1% | 125th | 39.7% | 28th |
| Passing success rate | 34.4% | 125th | 41.2% | 68th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 110th | 15.2% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 81st | 10.0% | 70th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 73rd | 2.80 | 26th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.7% | 105th | 38.5% | 79th |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 66th | 23.3% | 9th |
| Sack rate | 8.2% | 121st | 5.3% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.0% | 109th | 35.3% | 25th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 40.0% | 129th | 70.0% | 127th |
| Havoc rate | 12.5% | 97th | 14.7% | 9th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.5 | 119th | 26.9 | 72nd |
| Yards / game | 306.8 | 124th | 343.1 | 42nd |
| Yards / play | 4.68 | 125th | 5.46 | 73rd |
| Pass yards / game | 151.3 | 126th | 189.5 | 41st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.35 | 118th | 7.54 | 99th |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 110th | 58.9% | 30th |
| Rush yards / game | 155.5 | 71st | 141.4 | 55th |
| Yards / carry | 3.95 | 95th | 4.13 | 63rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.7% | 98th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 56th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 102nd | 1.83 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 104th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →