Big 12 · 2025 · Final

Cincinnati Bearcats 2025

7-65-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#58
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+2.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.8
51st in FBS
Defense
+0.1
64th in FBS
Schedule
+0.6
52nd toughest
Preseason
+0.4
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.0 now, +0.4 preseason · up 6 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#58

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 28vs61NebraskaNEUTRALL 17–20-1.4—ESPN
2Sep 6vs113Bowling GreenW 34–20+2.5—ESPN+
3Sep 13vsNorthwestern State FCSW 70–0+15.3—ESPN+
4—Bye
5Sep 27@60KansasCONFW 37–34+7.4—TNT
6Oct 4vs35Iowa StateCONFW 38–30+10.8—ESPN2
7Oct 11vs76UCFCONFW 20–11+4.8—FS1
8Oct 18@124Oklahoma StateCONFW 49–17+18.0—ESPN2
9Oct 25vs70BaylorCONFW 41–20+18.1—ESPN2
10Nov 1@7UtahCONFL 14–45-8.9—ESPN
11—Bye
12Nov 15vs29ArizonaCONFL 24–30-1.6—FS1
13Nov 22vs12BYUCONFL 14–26-2.9—FOX
14Nov 29@34TCUCONFL 23–45-13.4—FOX
BowlsJan 2vs49NavyNEUTRALL 13–35-18.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.2%23rd45.0%103rd
Rushing success rate49.0%18th47.0%113th
Passing success rate45.5%31st42.8%88th
Explosive run rate17.4%15th12.8%52nd
Explosive pass rate12.4%22nd9.9%68th
Line yards / carry3.584th3.30115th
Opportunity rate48.4%1st39.0%86th
Stuff rate14.8%37th14.3%112th
Sack rate2.2%3rd5.1%89th
3rd-down conversion40.3%79th43.3%103rd
Red-zone TD rate65.0%30th47.7%28th
Havoc rate8.7%8th8.6%129th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.355th33.6122nd
Yards / game407.343rd399.294th
Yards / play6.836th5.4776th
Pass yards / game231.262nd211.475th
Yards / pass att.8.2426th7.3784th
Completion %61.6%73rd66.8%125th
Rush yards / game176.146th178.8107th
Yards / carry5.693rd4.3381st
3rd-down conv. %38.7%81st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0838th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.622nd1.7793rd
Penalty yards / game65.1120th——

Players

71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

71 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →