Final TDC rank
#12
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+11.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.2
24th in FBS
Defense
+6.7
11th in FBS
Schedule
+3.3
22nd toughest
Preseason
+5.2
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+11.9 now, +5.2 preseason · up 4 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Portland State FCS | W 69–0 | +14.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 93Stanford | W 27–3 | +16.5 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 37East Carolina | W 34–13 | +29.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 86ColoradoCONF | W 24–21 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 87West VirginiaCONF | W 38–24 | +7.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 29ArizonaCONF | W 33–27 | +16.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 7UtahCONF | W 24–21 | +14.9 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 35Iowa StateCONF | W 41–27 | +22.4 | — | FOX |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 4Texas TechCONF | L 7–29 | -1.3 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 34TCUCONF | W 44–13 | +29.5 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 58CincinnatiCONF | W 26–14 | +16.8 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 76UCFCONF | W 41–21 | +15.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs4Texas TechNEUTRAL | L 7–34 | -7.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 38Georgia TechNEUTRAL | W 25–21 | +9.1 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 30th | 40.5% | 47th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.2% | 30th | 40.1% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 44.6% | 36th | 40.8% | 66th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 47th | 11.3% | 27th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 54th | 8.9% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.22 | 37th | 2.99 | 64th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.5% | 61st | 37.5% | 59th |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 39th | 19.0% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 2.6% | 5th | 5.5% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.0% | 58th | 36.7% | 31st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.8% | 94th | 39.1% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 10.7% | 49th | 12.1% | 62nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.4 | 25th | 19.1 | 16th |
| Yards / game | 399.5 | 55th | 332.4 | 35th |
| Yards / play | 5.89 | 37th | 4.94 | 35th |
| Pass yards / game | 221.4 | 74th | 193.4 | 48th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.67 | 46th | 6.50 | 35th |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 49th | 57.5% | 23rd |
| Rush yards / game | 178.1 | 40th | 122.7 | 30th |
| Yards / carry | 4.70 | 37th | 3.73 | 41st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.0% | 44th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.14 | 48th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.14 | 12th | 2.14 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.4 | 32nd | — | — |
Players
72 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
72 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →