
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 86Colorado | W 27–20 | +6.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 59–12 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 36ClemsonCONF | W 24–21 | +5.7 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 99Temple | W 45–24 | +12.2 | — | CW |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 57Wake ForestCONF | W 30–29 | +6.0 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 91Virginia TechCONF | W 35–20 | +8.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 44DukeCONF | W 27–18 | +16.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 106SyracuseCONF | W 41–16 | +14.5 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 42NC StateCONF | L 36–48 | -4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 36–34 | -0.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 31PittsburghCONF | L 28–42 | -10.4 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 8GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 9–16 | +6.9 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 12BYUNEUTRAL | L 21–25 | +7.9 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.9% | 6th | 45.4% | 108th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.7% | 2nd | 45.8% | 97th |
| Passing success rate | 47.8% | 15th | 44.9% | 114th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 34th | 14.0% | 72nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.9% | 17th | 11.0% | 98th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.55 | 6th | 3.10 | 81st |
| Opportunity rate | 44.6% | 7th | 39.6% | 96th |
| Stuff rate | 14.1% | 26th | 17.8% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 2.7% | 6th | 4.8% | 99th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.3% | 12th | 41.9% | 83rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.3% | 90th | 56.1% | 64th |
| Havoc rate | 7.9% | 4th | 9.2% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.7 | 40th | 25.1 | 62nd |
| Yards / game | 460.0 | 11th | 399.1 | 93rd |
| Yards / play | 6.91 | 5th | 5.77 | 103rd |
| Pass yards / game | 262.5 | 31st | 221.6 | 100th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.66 | 15th | 7.49 | 92nd |
| Completion % | 69.8% | 6th | 62.3% | 74th |
| Rush yards / game | 197.5 | 22nd | 164.0 | 90th |
| Yards / carry | 5.54 | 8th | 4.58 | 94th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.1% | 23rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.69 | 3rd | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.2 | 38th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →