The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 37East Carolina | W 24–17 | +9.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 30Virginia | W 35–31 | +7.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 11 | @ 57Wake ForestCONF | W 34–24 | +15.0 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 44DukeCONF | L 33–45 | -4.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 91Virginia TechCONF | L 21–23 | -8.9 | — | CW |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs Campbell FCS | W 56–10 | +6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 3Notre Dame | L 7–36 | -2.8 | — | Peacock |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 31PittsburghCONF | L 34–53 | -9.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 38Georgia TechCONF | W 48–36 | +14.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 6MiamiCONF | L 7–41 | -7.3 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 21 | vs 43Florida StateCONF | W 21–11 | +11.6 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 97North CarolinaCONF | W 42–19 | +14.4 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 48MemphisNEUTRAL | W 31–7 | +27.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.3% | 51st | 40.0% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 65th | 39.9% | 31st |
| Passing success rate | 44.2% | 39th | 40.0% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 42nd | 15.1% | 93rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 39th | 10.8% | 92nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 91st | 3.01 | 66th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 96th | 36.3% | 44th |
| Stuff rate | 21.6% | 125th | 16.9% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 65th | 3.8% | 120th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 50th | 46.3% | 116th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 81.6% | 1st | 48.9% | 31st |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 82nd | 11.1% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.3 | 55th | 29.6 | 89th |
| Yards / game | 392.2 | 64th | 411.9 | 111th |
| Yards / play | 5.91 | 35th | 5.90 | 114th |
| Pass yards / game | 245.7 | 49th | 263.4 | 132nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.73 | 42nd | 7.55 | 101st |
| Completion % | 67.8% | 15th | 62.8% | 79th |
| Rush yards / game | 146.5 | 80th | 138.8 | 52nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.47 | 60th | 4.32 | 80th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.2% | 52nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 1.54 | 111th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.8 | 65th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →