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#11
NC State · 2026

CJ Bailey

QBJunior6' 6", 218 lbsMiami, FL
NC State Wolfpack4-4 · TDC #67
Snap share
82%
6 of 8 started · 455 of 553 snaps
Pass yards
1955
24th of 276 in FBS
TD – INT
13–4
Yards / att.
8.0
49th of 146 in FBS
Completion
63.9%
67th of 146 in FBS
EPA / play
+0.29
48th of 161 QBs

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS QB who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

305 plays · +89.7 total EPA · 48th of 161 qualifying QBs
All plays+0.29
Passing+0.37
Rushing-0.02
1st down-0.00
2nd down+0.20
3rd down+1.00
Standard downs+0.07
Passing downs+0.57
BaileyQB average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays55%
Pass plays94%
Run plays18%
1st down46%
2nd down58%
3rd down66%
Standard downs44%
Passing downs78%
BaileyQB average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

PassingValueFBS rank
Dropbacks229—
Success rate48.9%26th / 181
Explosive pass rate11.4%63rd / 181
Deep-throw rate15.0%58th / 181
Sack rate3.9%55th / 181
Interception rate1.8%—
3rd-down conversion52.4%12th / 181
RushingValueFBS rank
Carries45—
Success rate44.4%—
Explosive run rate13.3%—
Stuffed at the line20.0%—
First downs10—
Red-zone carries10—
Goal-line carries2—

Charting

Where Bailey's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Avg. depth of throw
9.3
air yards per attempt
Deep shots
15%
throws 20+ air yards
YAC per completion
5.6
853 yds after the catch
Air yards
1058
of 1911 yds on charted throws
Pressured
13%
hurried or sacked · 12 sacks

Where he throws236 throws charted

63% comp9.3 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds13–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 11 yds, 1.8 per throw683% · 11yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 15 caught (83%), 105 yds, 5.8 per throw1883% · 105yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 13 caught (81%), 124 yds, 7.8 per throw1681% · 124yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 39 yds, 7.8 per throw560% · 39yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 114 yds, 11.4 per throw1060% · 114yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 135 yds, 19.3 per throw757% · 135yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 26 yds, 5.2 per throw5100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 140 yds, 8.8 per throw1675% · 140yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 10 caught (56%), 80 yds, 4.4 per throw1856% · 80yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 70 yds, 8.8 per throw850% · 70yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw520% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 101 yds, 20.2 per throw560% · 101yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 72 yds, 36.0 per throw2100% · 72yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (8%), 15 caught (83%), 123 yds, 6.8 per throw1883% · 123yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 17 caught (77%), 119 yds, 5.4 per throw2277% · 119yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 19 caught (70%), 205 yds, 7.6 per throw2770% · 205yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 6 caught (43%), 86 yds, 6.1 per throw1443% · 86yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 164 yds, 13.7 per throw1258% · 164yRight, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 4 caught (31%), 132 yds, 10.2 per throw1331% · 132yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw520% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction47 carries

Left
21%
6.8 YPC · 80% succ.
Middle
34%
5.3 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
45%
5.4 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.
2025 charting · NC State

2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (6 of Bailey’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.

Avg. depth of throw
9.3
air yards per attempt
Deep shots
15%
throws 20+ air yards
YAC per completion
4.0
347 yds after the catch
Air yards
585
of 932 yds on charted throws
Pressured
14%
hurried or sacked · 8 sacks

Where he throws136 throws charted

68% comp9.3 avg. depth4.0 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds25–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 5 throws (4%), 5 caught (100%), 10 yds, 2.0 per throw5100% · 10yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (13%), 14 caught (78%), 74 yds, 4.1 per throw1878% · 74yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw875% · 55yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw450% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (4%), 3 caught (60%), 52 yds, 10.4 per throw560% · 52yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 29 yds, 9.7 per throw333% · 29yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (4%), 2 caught (40%), 70 yds, 14.0 per throw540% · 70yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (6%), 6 caught (75%), 35 yds, 4.4 per throw875% · 35yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 4 caught (57%), 35 yds, 5.0 per throw757% · 35yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (5%), 5 caught (71%), 67 yds, 9.6 per throw771% · 67yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 24 yds, 12.0 per throw250% · 24yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 49 yds, 16.3 per throw367% · 49yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (10%), 9 caught (69%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1369% · 63yRight, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (9%), 11 caught (92%), 60 yds, 5.0 per throw1292% · 60yRight, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (10%), 7 caught (54%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1354% · 67yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (7%), 4 caught (44%), 51 yds, 5.7 per throw944% · 51yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 27 yds, 9.0 per throw333% · 27yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (3%), 2 caught (50%), 49 yds, 12.3 per throw450% · 49yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (3%), 1 caught (25%), 51 yds, 12.8 per throw425% · 51y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Run direction27 carries

Left
33%
8.9 YPC · 89% succ.
Middle
37%
7.0 YPC · 80% succ.
Right
30%
7.1 YPC · 88% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Career

3 seasons since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsCmp/AttPass ydsTD–INTY/ADropback SRCarRush ydsY/CRush TDRush SR
2026 so farNC State#67 · 4-4882%156/244195513–48.048.9%631782.8244.4%
2025NC State#42 · 8-51388%273/397310525–97.844.1%892152.4648.3%
2024NC State#78 · 6-71278%196/302241317–108.046.3%992792.8555.4%

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. CJ Bailey's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded.

Game Log

CJ Bailey's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

6.3 avg. game scoreBest: 8.5 vs Richmond (Week 2)1 of 8 games at 8.0+
PassingRushing
WkOpponentResultGame scoreCmpAttPctYdsY/ATDINTCarYdsY/CTDLong
1@VirginiaL 8–342.8122352.2843.70110333.3013
2RichmondW 73–08.5131776.528116.5106254.2118
3@VanderbiltL 31–356.2253767.62757.4319353.9028
4App StateW 41–316.6243372.72537.721263.015
5LouisvilleW 31–287.5244060.03739.3217192.709
6Wake ForestL 14–385.0283971.82416.2101300.0010
8@StanfordL 28–317.6173056.72568.5209596.6023
9CaliforniaW 31–105.9132552.01927.720710.105
2026 · 8 games6.315624463.919558.0134631782.8228

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Passing2026FBS rank
Completions156—
Attempts244—
Completion %63.9%67th / 146
Yards195524th / 276
Yards / att.849th / 146
Touchdowns1341st / 276
Interceptions4—
Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries63—
Yards178361st / 1519
Yards / carry2.8285th / 312
Touchdowns2266th / 683
Long28—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions11711th / 2089
Yards0—
Yards / catch0—
Touchdowns0—
Long0—
Fumbles2026FBS rank
Fumbles4—
Lost4—
Recovered0—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps: every offensive play credited to the QB running the offense. Close to a true snap count

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedPenaltiesSnap share
Wk 1 · Virginia✓ QB513933·76%
Wk 2 · Richmond✓ QB703825·54%
Wk 3 · Vanderbilt✓ QB786546183%
Wk 4 · App State✓ QB787237·92%
Wk 5 · Louisville✓ QB847450·88%
Wk 6 · Wake Forest—636052·95%
Wk 8 · Stanford✓ QB655440·83%
Wk 9 · California—645331·83%
Season6 GS553455314182%

Position Room

3 QBs on the NC State roster, ordered by att

#PlayerPosClassAttYdsTDINTEPA/play
11CJ BaileyQBJR2441955134+0.29
Will WilsonQB123520+0.39
12Tad HudsonQBSR—————

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 12+ plays per team game. NC State depth chart →