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ACC · 2026

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Head coach Jake Dickert · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
7-15-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#14
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+16.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.7
20th in FBS
Defense
+8.5
19th in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.5
40th toughest
Projected
10.1-1.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+16.2 now, +0.7 preseason · up 43 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#15

Final record odds

10.1-1.9 expected · most likely 10-2 (47%)
8-417%9-347%10-235%11-1

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Gio Lopez
QB · JR · 15th in FBS
2176yds
18 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Ty Clark III
RB · JR · 152nd in FBS
376yds
78 car · 7 TD
Receiving
Carlos Hernandez
WR · SR · 8th in FBS
856yds
57 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Vincent Firenze
LB · JR · 152nd in FBS
54tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
Langston Hardy
DL · SR · 26th in FBS
5.5sacks
6 hurries
Interceptions
Braylon Johnson
DB · JR · 145th in FBS
1INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs132AkronW 38–16 ›-2.3—ACC Network
2Sep 12@71PurdueW 38–36 ›+6.1—FS1
3Sep 18vs3MiamiCONFL 20–33 ›+8.1—ESPN
4Sep 26@15LouisvilleCONFW 30–27 ›+22.9—ESPN
5Oct 3vs100StanfordCONFW 57–3 ›+20.9—ACC Network
6Oct 10@67NC StateCONFW 38–14 ›+29.6—CW
7Oct 17@93CaliforniaCONFW 41–7 ›+24.5—ESPN2
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs47VirginiaCONFW 51–7 ›+33.2—ESPN2
10Nov 7vsMerrimack FCSWake Forest −54.8 · o/u 44.9—>99%ACC Network
11Nov 14@29SMUCONFWake Forest −0.6 · o/u 54.7—52%
12Nov 21@78Georgia TechCONFWake Forest −14.8 · o/u 55.9—84%
13Nov 28vs39DukeCONFWake Forest −12.2 · o/u 50.4—79%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3672nd+0.04845th
Success rate49.6%13th39.4%44th
Explosiveness1.33920th1.11112th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.9%13th39.6%44th
Rushing success rate50.7%12th35.2%17th
Passing success rate49.1%18th42.9%99th
Explosive run rate16.4%27th9.3%17th
Explosive pass rate13.3%26th5.3%5th
Line yards / carry3.5114th2.516th
Opportunity rate44.4%11th32.4%20th
Stuff rate12.1%9th28.0%5th
Sack rate5.2%70th5.8%67th
3rd-down conversion51.8%12th37.1%47th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%39th50.0%29th
Havoc rate8.9%5th15.9%29th
Box score · season totals
Points / game39.19th17.922nd
Yards / game457.416th323.535th
Yards / play6.769th4.4918th
Pass yards / game282.617th240.6107th
Yards / pass att.9.507th6.2125th
Completion %67.1%27th74.5%138th
Rush yards / game174.847th82.96th
Yards / carry4.8040th2.698th
3rd-down conv. %51.0%13th37.6%64th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.382nd0.62133rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5042nd2.5037th
Penalty yards / game79.3132nd51.099th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.8
71st of 138
YAC per catch
5.9
47th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
68th of 138
Shotgun
91%
103rd of 138
No-huddle
75%
52nd of 138
QB pressured
21%
7th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
66th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.1
132nd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws232 throws charted

67% comp8.8 avg. depth5.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds19–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 24 throws (10%), 18 caught (75%), 102 yds, 4.3 per throw2475% · 102yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (11%), 19 caught (73%), 189 yds, 7.3 per throw2673% · 189yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 18 caught (72%), 186 yds, 7.4 per throw2572% · 186yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 80 yds, 6.7 per throw1250% · 80yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 112 yds, 12.4 per throw967% · 112yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 88 yds, 12.6 per throw743% · 88yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 85 yds, 17.0 per throw540% · 85yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 8 caught (57%), 64 yds, 4.6 per throw1457% · 64yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 101 yds, 11.2 per throw956% · 101yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 166 yds, 11.1 per throw1567% · 166yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 61 yds, 20.3 per throw3100% · 61yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 132 yds, 26.4 per throw560% · 132yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 99 yds, 33.0 per throw367% · 99yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 11 caught (79%), 64 yds, 4.6 per throw1479% · 64yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 61 yds, 4.1 per throw1573% · 61yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 130 yds, 6.5 per throw2065% · 130yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 109 yds, 10.9 per throw1070% · 109yRight, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw2100% · 32yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 78 yds, 8.7 per throw933% · 78yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 173 yds, 34.6 per throw580% · 173y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on303 throws charted

74% comp5.3 avg. depth4.1 YAC/catch4% 20+ air yds11–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (7%), 20 caught (95%), 84 yds, 4.0 per throw2195% · 84yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 42 throws (14%), 35 caught (83%), 193 yds, 4.6 per throw4283% · 193yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 18 caught (69%), 136 yds, 5.2 per throw2669% · 136yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 9 caught (69%), 111 yds, 8.5 per throw1369% · 111yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 126 yds, 15.8 per throw875% · 126yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 124 yds, 31.0 per throw475% · 124yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 7 yds, 1.4 per throw5100% · 7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 18 caught (69%), 119 yds, 4.6 per throw2669% · 119yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 11 caught (61%), 99 yds, 5.5 per throw1861% · 99yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 5 caught (45%), 113 yds, 10.3 per throw1145% · 113yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 120 yds, 10.9 per throw1155% · 120yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 30 throws (10%), 26 caught (87%), 120 yds, 4.0 per throw3087% · 120yRight, 0–4 air yards: 41 throws (14%), 33 caught (80%), 170 yds, 4.1 per throw4180% · 170yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (8%), 19 caught (79%), 160 yds, 6.7 per throw2479% · 160yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 8 caught (73%), 113 yds, 10.3 per throw1173% · 113yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 53 yds, 13.3 per throw475% · 53yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 47 yds, 9.4 per throw540% · 47yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction265 carries

Left
20%
6.8 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
65%
5.1 YPC · 49% succ.
Right
15%
6.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced215 carries

Left
22%
4.8 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
60%
3.3 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
18%
3.9 YPC · 31% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jake Dickert

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Gio LopezQBJR6' 0"220Madison, AL
6Steele PizzellaQBFR5' 11"185Simi Valley, CA
13Billy JohnsonQBJR5' 10"185Atherton, CA
15Gannon JonesQBFR5' 10"190Cary, NC
17Grant LawlessQBFR6' 3"205Denver, NC
1KD DanielsRBSO5' 11"205West Point, MS
4Ty Clark IIIRBJR6' 0"205Nashville, TN
21Kyndall McCalebRBFR6' 0"215Painesville, OH
22Deuce LawrenceRBFR5' 7"195Tallahassee, FL
24Sawyer SeidlRBJR5' 9"175Hugo, MN
27Ryan HenleyRBSO5' 9"200Charlotte, NC
29Jamar SearcyRBFR5' 7"200Oakland, CA
5Kam ShanksWRJR5' 8"170Prattville, AL
7Wondame Davis Jr.WRSO5' 11"185Ennis, TX
8Carlos HernandezWRSR6' 0"190Alhambra, CA
10Jack FoleyWRFR6' 4"205Bend, OR
11Ny CarrWRSO5' 10"190Moultrie, GA
14Antonio MeeksWRSR6' 1"205Las Vegas, NV
18Drayden DickmannWRJR5' 11"185Georgetown, TX
20Elijah OtienoWRFR5' 9"165Forney, TX
23Zeek JacksonWRJR5' 7"160Baltimore, MD
25Eli PottsWRJR5' 11"190Brock, TX
28Hugh O'BrienWRFR5' 11"195Charlotte, NC
38Walker BrysonWRFR5' 11"185Waynesville, NC
82Devin GoldstonWRFR6' 2"205Raleigh, NC
83Kobe Adeleke-HokesWRFR5' 11"185Atlanta, GA
88Bryce KaniaWRFR6' 4"205Chatham, NJ
12Kamrean JohnsonTESR6' 5"230Theodore, AL
48Matthew LusardiTESR6' 1"250Basking Ridge, NJ
81Landon MorrisTESR6' 5"240Indianapolis, IN
84Dominick BarryTEFR6' 3"245Greenwood, IN
85Will LoerzelTESO6' 5"250New Orleans, LA
89Brady ShustTEFR6' 6"255Sparta, NJ
50Ja'Marion KennedyOLJR6' 2"325Shreveport, LA
51Devin McRaeOLJR6' 3"300McRae, GA
52Uber AjongoOLSO6' 6"305Ottawa, Canada
55Tolu OlajideOLSR6' 4"305Lawrenceville, NJ
56Ethan CallowayOLSO6' 7"315Mooresville, NC
60Will SabaOLFR6' 4"320Purcellville, VA
62Jaishaun OffuttOLFR6' 3"330Winchester, VA
64Ryan BergerOLJR6' 4"320Portland, OR
65Clinton RichardOLSO6' 3"320Hiram, GA
67Elliot DemaineOLFR6' 6"300Ottawa, Canada
68Luke BeemerOLSO6' 3"310Nashville, TN
69Dalton DeBoerOLFR6' 5"370Clive, IA
72Aidan MartinOLFR6' 6"295Denver, CO
74John OhnegianOLSR6' 2"310Ramsey, NJ
75Derrell Johnson IIOLSR6' 3"305Jacksonville, FL
77Dylan DurbinOLFR6' 6"275Corpus Christi, TX
78Jack HinesOLSO6' 8"310Avon, CT
79Langston HoggOLFR6' 1"285Kennesaw, GA
9Camden HardyDLSO6' 3"235Jacksonville, FL
10Gabe KirschkeDLSR6' 5"250Lone Tree, CO
11Langston HardyDLSR6' 4"245Jacksonville, FL
18D.J. JohnsonDLSO6' 3"240Wilbraham, MA
20Kerrington LeeDLJR6' 4"245Palm Beach Gardens, FL
48Ryan HarringtonDLFR6' 4"230Commerce Township, MI
52Dallas AfalavaDLSR6' 2"295Seattle, WA
55Kadear DembeleDLFR6' 2"295West Haven, CT
90Sydir MitchellDLJR6' 5"370Paterson, NJ
91Lucas Smalls-AllenDLFR6' 3"280Roswell, GA
92Sefa SackeyDLFR6' 5"215Accra, Ghana
93Cade HollesDLFR6' 6"240Centennial, CO
94Zach LohavichanDLSR6' 3"290Charlotte, NC
96Cooper LongDLFR6' 4"300Fall River, MA
97Matt HerronDLSR6' 3"290Holladay, UT
98Christian HarrisDLFR6' 0"320Cincinnati, OH
99Josiah PrattDLFR6' 0"315Houston, TX
7Buom JockLBJR6' 3"235Mankato, MN
12Tylan McNicholsLBJR6' 1"225Decatur, MS
21Aiden HallLBSR6' 1"220Birmingham, AL
23Vincent FirenzeLBJR6' 4"230Syracuse, NY
30Jerron BlackwellLBFR6' 0"215Greensboro, NC
32Joel LowenbergLBFR6' 0"220Chattanooga, TN
42Isaac NelsonLBFR6' 2"220Indianapolis, IN
43Frank CusanoLBSO6' 2"230Granite Bay, CA
44Monroe PartinLBFR6' 3"230Daphne, AL
46Deuce DyceLBFR5' 11"220Hamden, CT
2Deuce Blades IIDBSR5' 10"185Fort Lauderdale, FL
3Bernard CauseyDBSO5' 11"175New Orleans, LA
4Sascha GarciaDBSO6' 1"195Clinton, MD
5Davaughn PattersonDBJR6' 1"215Jacksonville, FL
8Braylon JohnsonDBJR6' 1"190Richmond, VA
15Devin CookDBSO5' 11"175Chesapeake, VA
24Micah BrightDBFR6' 0"190Concord, NC
25Joshua PattersonDBFR6' 0"195Jacksonville, FL
26Freddie GillensDBFR6' 0"180Columbia, SC
28AJ MarksDBFR5' 9"170Detroit, MI
29Jake RyanDBSO6' 0"195Minden, NE
34Micheal AhouaDBFR6' 4"200Torrington, CT
35Koredell BartleyDBSO5' 11"195Greensboro, NC
36Seth CarethersDBFR5' 11"180Coppell, TX
38Somad EaddyDBFR5' 11"170Greenville, SC
39Mahamadou SibyDBFR5' 10"175Justin, TX
90Connor CalvertPKSO6' 3"215Bend, OR
97Caleb CarlsonPKSR6' 2"205Miami, FL
45Ethan HyamsPFR6' 3"215Castlecrag, Australia
96Jack PloszayPSO6' 2"195Malvern, PA
39Wyatt FreemanLSSR5' 11"205Bakersfield, CA
49Eli GilmourLSSO6' 2"215San Diego, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2021 (+8.3, #16) · worst: 2014 (-8.0, #102)
-10-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#57
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far7-15-1#14+16.2+7.7+8.5
20259-44-4#57+2.2-0.2+2.5
20244-82-6#97-5.1-1.3-3.8
20234-81-7#82-3.4-2.5-0.9
20228-53-5#24+6.6+8.8-2.2
202111-37-1#16+8.3+11.2-2.9
20204-53-4#53+1.8+5.3-3.5
20198-54-4#52+1.1+2.9-1.9
20187-63-5#66+0.8+3.7-3.0
20178-54-4#26+7.6+6.8+0.8
20167-63-5#71-1.6-6.2+4.5
20153-91-7#91-5.3-9.3+4.0
20143-91-7#102-8.0-8.9+0.9

Wake Forest's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →