
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Elon FCS | W 37–17 | -3.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 115Vanderbilt | W 36–20 | +4.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 94Old Dominion | W 27–24 | +0.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 58Georgia TechCONF | L 16–30 | -15.5 | — | CW |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 21ClemsonCONF | L 12–17 | +5.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 47Virginia TechCONF | L 13–30 | -11.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 84PittsburghCONF | W 21–17 | -2.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 10Florida StateCONF | L 16–41 | -13.2 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 26DukeCONF | L 21–24 | +6.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 32NC StateCONF | L 6–26 | -17.4 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 7Notre Dame | L 7–45 | -10.6 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 81SyracuseCONF | L 31–35 | -4.7 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.9% | 76th | 41.2% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.4% | 74th | 41.2% | 46th |
| Passing success rate | 40.2% | 74th | 41.2% | 70th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 89th | 12.8% | 35th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 104th | 11.1% | 90th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 81st | 3.19 | 77th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.2% | 92nd | 36.4% | 45th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 79th | 13.1% | 112th |
| Sack rate | 12.0% | 131st | 6.2% | 61st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.5% | 100th | 42.1% | 84th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.5% | 128th | 58.3% | 47th |
| Havoc rate | 11.4% | 127th | 7.0% | 95th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.3 | 115th | 27.0 | 72nd |
| Yards / game | 327.8 | 104th | 386.7 | 76th |
| Yards / play | 4.69 | 117th | 5.68 | 88th |
| Pass yards / game | 197.3 | 100th | 220.9 | 85th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.38 | 64th | 7.88 | 106th |
| Completion % | 60.4% | 74th | 61.6% | 86th |
| Rush yards / game | 130.4 | 96th | 154.3 | 75th |
| Yards / carry | 3.34 | 120th | 4.21 | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.2% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 119th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 4.08 | 131st | 1.92 | 84th |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.8 | 12th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →