The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Wofford FCS | W 45–7 | +5.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 93Cincinnati | L 21–27 | -13.5 | — | CW |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 36West Virginia | L 6–17 | -3.9 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 39North CarolinaCONF | L 24–41 | -15.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 47Virginia TechCONF | L 21–38 | -11.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 23LouisvilleCONF | W 38–21 | +22.1 | — | CW |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 82Wake ForestCONF | L 17–21 | -4.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 7Notre Dame | L 7–58 | -15.2 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 10Florida StateCONF | L 7–24 | -5.9 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 81SyracuseCONFNEUTRAL | L 13–28 | -18.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 91Boston CollegeCONF | W 24–16 | +0.9 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 26DukeCONF | L 19–30 | -1.4 | — | ACC Network |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.4% | 112th | 39.7% | 35th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 84th | 39.0% | 26th |
| Passing success rate | 35.0% | 115th | 40.6% | 58th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 117th | 13.2% | 42nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 62nd | 12.6% | 115th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 107th | 2.95 | 33rd |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 116th | 35.3% | 30th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 102nd | 21.1% | 15th |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 71st | 7.9% | 15th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.9% | 119th | 38.4% | 50th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.2% | 33rd | 59.0% | 56th |
| Havoc rate | 9.2% | 97th | 9.2% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.2 | 117th | 27.3 | 74th |
| Yards / game | 317.9 | 116th | 361.6 | 51st |
| Yards / play | 5.16 | 90th | 5.16 | 49th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.0 | 77th | 192.8 | 38th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.20 | 76th | 8.00 | 112th |
| Completion % | 53.3% | 122nd | 62.1% | 95th |
| Rush yards / game | 101.9 | 122nd | 150.2 | 67th |
| Yards / carry | 3.44 | 114th | 3.65 | 31st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.3% | 120th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 109th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 58th | 2.58 | 29th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.4 | 122nd | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →