ACC · 2023 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2023

8-54-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#39
of 133 FBS teams
Rating
+4.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.3
16th in FBS
Defense
-2.1
86th in FBS
Schedule
0.0
64th toughest
Preseason
+1.5
rating going in

2023 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+4.2 now, +1.5 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#40

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vs60South CarolinaNEUTRALW 31–17+15.1—ABC
2Sep 9vs54Appalachian StateW 40–34+6.0—ACC Network
3Sep 16vs74MinnesotaW 31–13+13.8—ESPN
4Sep 23@84PittsburghCONFW 41–24+16.0—ACC Network
5—Bye
6Oct 7vs81SyracuseCONFW 40–7+21.4—ESPN
7Oct 14vs33MiamiCONFW 41–31+12.5—ABC
8Oct 21vs101VirginiaCONFL 27–31-12.2—CW
9Oct 28@58Georgia TechCONFL 42–46-0.4—ACC Network
10Nov 4vsCampbell FCSW 59–7+10.6—ACC Network
11Nov 11vs26DukeCONFW 47–45+6.5—ACC Network
12Nov 18@21ClemsonCONFL 20–31-0.5—ESPN
13Nov 25@32NC StateCONFL 20–39-11.3—ACC Network
BowlsDec 27vs36West VirginiaNEUTRALL 10–30-15.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.0%15th43.5%83rd
Rushing success rate51.9%10th44.4%73rd
Passing success rate44.6%35th42.6%92nd
Explosive run rate16.5%37th15.4%81st
Explosive pass rate11.3%47th12.0%108th
Line yards / carry3.4415th3.42116th
Opportunity rate44.0%15th40.2%97th
Stuff rate12.9%17th11.5%123rd
Sack rate7.2%100th5.1%89th
3rd-down conversion49.7%9th40.2%66th
Red-zone TD rate64.0%62nd58.0%45th
Havoc rate7.5%52nd6.0%114th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.519th31.8108th
Yards / game491.27th404.497th
Yards / play6.4216th5.4566th
Pass yards / game298.514th224.592nd
Yards / pass att.8.4420th7.2669th
Completion %63.5%45th62.0%94th
Rush yards / game192.719th163.293rd
Yards / carry5.0320th4.2171st
3rd-down conv. %48.7%9th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3150th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.85111th2.1566th
Penalty yards / game66.3125th——

Players

71 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)

71 players

Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →