
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 60South CarolinaNEUTRAL | W 31–17 | +15.1 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 54Appalachian State | W 40–34 | +6.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 74Minnesota | W 31–13 | +13.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 84PittsburghCONF | W 41–24 | +16.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 81SyracuseCONF | W 40–7 | +21.4 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 33MiamiCONF | W 41–31 | +12.5 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 101VirginiaCONF | L 27–31 | -12.2 | — | CW |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 58Georgia TechCONF | L 42–46 | -0.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs Campbell FCS | W 59–7 | +10.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 26DukeCONF | W 47–45 | +6.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 21ClemsonCONF | L 20–31 | -0.5 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 32NC StateCONF | L 20–39 | -11.3 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 36West VirginiaNEUTRAL | L 10–30 | -15.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.0% | 15th | 43.5% | 83rd |
| Rushing success rate | 51.9% | 10th | 44.4% | 73rd |
| Passing success rate | 44.6% | 35th | 42.6% | 92nd |
| Explosive run rate | 16.5% | 37th | 15.4% | 81st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 47th | 12.0% | 108th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.44 | 15th | 3.42 | 116th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.0% | 15th | 40.2% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 12.9% | 17th | 11.5% | 123rd |
| Sack rate | 7.2% | 100th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 9th | 40.2% | 66th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.0% | 62nd | 58.0% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 7.5% | 52nd | 6.0% | 114th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.5 | 19th | 31.8 | 108th |
| Yards / game | 491.2 | 7th | 404.4 | 97th |
| Yards / play | 6.42 | 16th | 5.45 | 66th |
| Pass yards / game | 298.5 | 14th | 224.5 | 92nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.44 | 20th | 7.26 | 69th |
| Completion % | 63.5% | 45th | 62.0% | 94th |
| Rush yards / game | 192.7 | 19th | 163.2 | 93rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.03 | 20th | 4.21 | 71st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.7% | 9th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.85 | 111th | 2.15 | 66th |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.3 | 125th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →