The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 56Miami (OH) | W 38–3 | +27.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 24Texas A&M | W 48–33 | +19.7 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 48–7 | +6.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 129Temple | W 41–7 | +16.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 58Georgia TechCONF | L 20–23 | -4.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 39North CarolinaCONF | L 31–41 | -3.3 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 21ClemsonCONF | W 28–20 | +13.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 101VirginiaCONF | W 29–26 | -5.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 32NC StateCONF | L 6–20 | -6.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 10Florida StateCONF | L 20–27 | +9.2 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 23LouisvilleCONF | L 31–38 | -1.9 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 91Boston CollegeCONF | W 45–20 | +22.4 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 57RutgersNEUTRAL | L 24–31 | -5.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.6% | 45th | 41.6% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.2% | 55th | 40.7% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 44.0% | 41st | 42.5% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.2% | 42nd | 13.4% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 47th | 9.1% | 37th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 18th | 2.71 | 12th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.5% | 34th | 34.1% | 20th |
| Stuff rate | 15.4% | 57th | 22.8% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 10th | 7.1% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 48th | 35.3% | 28th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 69th | 55.8% | 34th |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 38th | 11.7% | 9th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.5 | 39th | 22.8 | 45th |
| Yards / game | 431.1 | 31st | 321.6 | 24th |
| Yards / play | 6.28 | 22nd | 4.96 | 28th |
| Pass yards / game | 258.0 | 43rd | 197.5 | 46th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.69 | 49th | 7.09 | 58th |
| Completion % | 64.9% | 28th | 56.8% | 24th |
| Rush yards / game | 173.2 | 45th | 105.6 | 12th |
| Yards / carry | 5.12 | 16th | 3.33 | 17th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.9% | 52nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 105th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 2.69 | 22nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.8 | 96th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →