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ACC · 2026

Miami Hurricanes

Head coach Mario Cristobal · Hard Rock Stadium
8-06-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#3
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+24.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+17.4
1st in FBS
Defense
+7.3
25th in FBS
Schedule so far
-1.8
64th toughest
Projected
11.2-0.8
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+24.8 now, +20.6 preseason · up 2 spots since preseason
0+10+20+30FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#4

Final record odds

11.2-0.8 expected · most likely 11-1 (60%)
9-310%10-260%11-130%12-0

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Darian Mensah
QB · JR · 9th in FBS
2425yds
25 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Javian Mallory
RB · FR · 76th in FBS
495yds
71 car · 7 TD
Receiving
Malachi Toney
WR · 3rd in FBS
1027yds
73 rec · 13 TD
Tackles
Mohamed Toure
LB · 297th in FBS
44tkl
0 TFL
Sacks
Marquise Lightfoot
DL · JR · 7th in FBS
7sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Bryce Fitzgerald
DB · SO · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4@100StanfordCONFW 45–6 ›+23.1—ESPN
2Sep 10vsFlorida A&M FCSW 77–7 ›-2.4—ACC Network
3Sep 18@14Wake ForestCONFW 33–20 ›+32.9—ESPN
4Sep 26vs122Central MichiganW 52–3 ›+13.3—CW
5Oct 3@54ClemsonCONFW 41–13 ›+33.7—ABC
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs41Florida StateCONFW 43–35 ›+11.6—ESPN
8Oct 24vs38PittsburghCONFW 52–23 ›+30.0—ESPNEWS
9Oct 31@50North CarolinaCONFW 38–35 ›+11.8—ABC
10Nov 7@1Notre DameNotre Dame −5.9 · o/u 61.9—35%NBC
11Nov 14vs39DukeCONFMiami −20.7 · o/u 61.2—92%ABC
12Nov 21vs49Virginia TechCONFMiami −22.8 · o/u 66.7—94%
13Nov 28vs81Boston CollegeCONFMiami −32.2 · o/u 60.5—98%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.4451st+0.10177th
Success rate53.5%1st42.1%79th
Explosiveness1.30943rd1.27589th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate54.0%1st41.4%71st
Rushing success rate48.4%25th35.6%20th
Passing success rate59.3%1st44.7%115th
Explosive run rate14.1%60th7.6%8th
Explosive pass rate15.7%8th11.9%113th
Line yards / carry3.634th2.609th
Opportunity rate42.3%27th27.3%2nd
Stuff rate8.0%1st17.4%78th
Sack rate4.0%38th7.9%20th
3rd-down conversion56.8%4th39.2%67th
Red-zone TD rate85.7%2nd61.1%79th
Havoc rate8.0%2nd11.9%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game47.61st17.821st
Yards / game534.92nd312.628th
Yards / play7.592nd4.8838th
Pass yards / game332.44th251.9122nd
Yards / pass att.10.301st7.1271st
Completion %80.3%1st62.5%82nd
Rush yards / game202.521st60.81st
Yards / carry5.509th2.363rd
3rd-down conv. %54.5%2nd37.6%65th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.382nd1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2525th3.0011th
Penalty yards / game58.881st62.436th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.4
116th of 138
YAC per catch
7.1
7th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
119th of 138
Shotgun
96%
66th of 138
No-huddle
25%
105th of 138
QB pressured
9%
120th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
62nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.3
60th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws245 throws charted

80% comp7.4 avg. depth7.1 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds28–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 21 caught (100%), 139 yds, 6.6 per throw21100% · 139yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 23 caught (92%), 198 yds, 7.9 per throw2592% · 198yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 73 yds, 7.3 per throw1080% · 73yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 8 caught (67%), 147 yds, 12.3 per throw1267% · 147yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 281 yds, 18.7 per throw1573% · 281yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 112 yds, 18.7 per throw667% · 112yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 77 yds, 38.5 per throw2100% · 77yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 6 caught (100%), 29 yds, 4.8 per throw6100% · 29yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw667% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 12 caught (86%), 130 yds, 9.3 per throw1486% · 130yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 89 yds, 9.9 per throw967% · 89yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 61 yds, 15.3 per throw475% · 61yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 132 yds, 33.0 per throw475% · 132yRight, Behind air yards: 29 throws (12%), 27 caught (93%), 294 yds, 10.1 per throw2993% · 294yRight, 0–4 air yards: 36 throws (15%), 29 caught (81%), 263 yds, 7.3 per throw3681% · 263yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 13 caught (87%), 125 yds, 8.3 per throw1587% · 125yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 8 caught (67%), 108 yds, 9.0 per throw1267% · 108yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 54 yds, 7.7 per throw743% · 54yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 60 yds, 15.0 per throw450% · 60yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 96 yds, 19.2 per throw540% · 96y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on275 throws charted

63% comp8.0 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds14–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 28 throws (10%), 19 caught (68%), 151 yds, 5.4 per throw2868% · 151yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 17 caught (74%), 112 yds, 4.9 per throw2374% · 112yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 98 yds, 7.5 per throw1385% · 98yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 5 caught (83%), 102 yds, 17.0 per throw683% · 102yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 71 yds, 8.9 per throw850% · 71yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 123 yds, 17.6 per throw743% · 123yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 48 yds, 12.0 per throw475% · 48yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 9 caught (75%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw1275% · 79yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 16 caught (80%), 141 yds, 7.0 per throw2080% · 141yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 76 yds, 7.6 per throw1050% · 76yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 79 yds, 15.8 per throw580% · 79yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 24 yds, 24.0 per throw1100% · 24yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 27 throws (10%), 22 caught (81%), 61 yds, 2.3 per throw2781% · 61yRight, 0–4 air yards: 33 throws (12%), 19 caught (58%), 131 yds, 4.0 per throw3358% · 131yRight, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (11%), 16 caught (55%), 153 yds, 5.3 per throw2955% · 153yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 5 caught (42%), 80 yds, 6.7 per throw1242% · 80yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 7 caught (78%), 127 yds, 14.1 per throw978% · 127yRight, 20–29 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 4 caught (29%), 93 yds, 6.6 per throw1429% · 93yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 141 yds, 17.6 per throw838% · 141y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction275 carries

Left
20%
7.9 YPC · 56% succ.
Middle
58%
5.0 YPC · 51% succ.
Right
22%
6.9 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced175 carries

Left
15%
3.9 YPC · 33% succ.
Middle
61%
3.7 YPC · 32% succ.
Right
24%
2.5 YPC · 29% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Mario Cristobal

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Luke NickelQBFR6' 2"220Alpharetta, GA
10Darian MensahQBJR6' 3"205San Luis Obispo, CA
11Dereon ColemanQBFR6' 1"175Lakeland, FL
15Judd AndersonQBSO6' 7"230Gray, GA
18Joe BorchersQBJR6' 3"230Sarasota, FL
18Vinny GonzalezQBFR6' 2"200Miami, FL
0Girard Pringle Jr.RBSO5' 10"190Tampa, FL
2Jordan LyleRBJR6' 0"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
4Mark Fletcher Jr.RBSR6' 2"225Fort Lauderdale, FL
6CharMar BrownRBJR5' 11"220Omaha, NE
21Javian MalloryRBFR5' 11"210Fort Lauderdale, FL
3Joshua MooreWRSO6' 4"215Miami, FL
8Vandrevius JacobsWRJR6' 0"182Fort Pierce, FL
13Vance SpaffordWRFR5' 10"175Orange County, CA
18Cooper BarkateWRSR6' 1"195Newport Beach, CA
19Milan ParrisWRFR6' 5"195Akron, OH
22Kolby LunaWRJR6' 2"215Kellogg, ID
33Nick ThomasWRSO5' 8"170Missouri City, TX
37Brenden CookWRJR6' 1"170Jacksonville, FL
38Micheleau FrederiqueWRFR6' 1"175Fort Lauderdale, FL
40Brennan BurtonWRSO6' 0"205Virginia Beach, VA
81Riply LunaWRJR6' 2"215Kellogg, ID
83Tyran EvansWRFR6' 4"205Charlotte, NC
9Elija LoftonTEJR6' 3"242Las Vegas, NV
14Israel BriggsTEFR6' 4"215Clovis, CA
44Owen RuskavichTEJR6' 7"255Great Falls, VA
80Hunter CarverTESO6' 4"245Woodbury, MN
82Dylan ReimanTESO6' 6"245Jupiter, FL
84Jack NickelTESR6' 4"250Milton, GA
85Jackson CarverTEJR6' 6"250Woodbury, MN
86Cole McConathy IITESO6' 5"250Spanish Fort, AL
87Gavin MuellerTEFR6' 5"255Wayne, IL
88Luka GilbertTESO6' 7"255West Chester, OH
53Canon PickettOLFR6' 4"325Tampa, FL
55JJ SparksOLFR6' 3"305Jacksonville, FL
56Johnathan ClineOLJR6' 4"315Cartersville, GA
58Ben CongdonOLFR6' 8"330Zoarville, OH
63Samson OkunlolaOLJR6' 6"330Brockton, MA
64Ralph ScrogginsOLFR6' 1"275Savannah, GA
65Seuseu AlofaituliOLSO6' 2"290Las Vegas, NV
66Max BuchananOLSO6' 4"310Sanford, FL
70Joel ErvinOLFR6' 6"330Fort Myers, FL
71Jamal MeriweatherOLJR6' 7"305Brunswick, GA
72Demetrius CampbellOLFR6' 6"330Orlando, FL
75Jacob HawksOLSO6' 9"330Topeka, KS
76Ryan RodriguezOLSR6' 2"300Miami, FL
77Juan MinayaOLSO6' 6"335Paramus, NJ
78Matthew McCoyOLSR6' 6"325St. Johns, FL
79Jackson CantwellOLFR6' 8"330Nixa, MO
5Justin ScottDLJR6' 4"303Chicago, IL
8Marquise LightfootDLJR6' 5"230Chicago, IL
13Asharri CharlesDLFR6' 2"230Venice, FL
18Armondo BlountDLJR6' 4"265Fort Lauderdale, FL
31Herbert Scroggins IIIDLSO6' 3"245Savannah, GA
33Booker Pickett Jr.DLSO6' 4"230Tampa, FL
40Keshawn StancilDLFR6' 4"285Clayton, NC
42Logan NagleDLFR6' 4"260Franklin Lakes, NJ
44Tyson BaconDLFR6' 4"275Hoover, AL
52Isaac ChukwurahDLFR6' 2"260Middletown, DE
55Mykah NewtonDLFR6' 3"275Gainesville, FL
88DeAnthony LafayetteDLFR6' 1"230Lake Nona, FL
91Jarquez CarterDLSO6' 1"288Newberry, FL
92Samuel CoufalDLJR6' 2"270Wales, WI
93Fred SainteusDLFR6' 3"275Port-au-prince, Haiti
97Keona DavisDLJR6' 5"280Tucson, AZ
99Ahmad Moten Sr.DLSR6' 3"300Fort Lauderdale, FL
4Cam PruittLBJR6' 2"210Theodore, AL
9Chase SmithLBSR6' 2"240Palm Bay, FL
11Kamal BonnerLBJR6' 2"215Moultrie, GA
17Ezekiel Marcelin Jr.LBSO5' 11"230Miami, FL
32Justin EdwardsLBFR6' 1"205Orlando, FL
34Jordan CampbellLBFR6' 1"225Carol City, FL
38Karsten BuschLBFR6' 3"235Louisville, KY
39Casey RizziLBSO6' 0"225Metairie, LA
45Braylon LamarLBJR6' 0"215Cary, NC
0Omar ThorntonDBJR5' 11"201Carver Ranches, FL
2Damari BrownDBJR6' 2"195Plantation, FL
3Bryce FitzgeraldDBSO6' 1"185Miami, FL
6Xavier LucasDBJR6' 2"198Pompano Beach, FL
7Zechariah PoyserDBJR6' 2"200Wildwood, FL
15Brody JenningsDBFR6' 1"185Jacksonville, FL
16Ja'Boree AntoineDBSO6' 1"180New Iberia, LA
20Chris Ewald Jr.DBFR6' 1"175Sunrise, FL
21Camdin PortisDBFR5' 11"175Charlotte, NC
23Dylan DayDBJR6' 2"185Baton Rouge, LA
24Ethan O'ConnorDBJR6' 1"180Irvine, CA
25JJ DunniganDBFR6' 3"205Manhattan, KS
27Ryan MackDBSO5' 11"175Fort Lauderdale, FL
28Isaiah TaylorDBSR5' 11"200Fort Lauderdale, FL
29Romanas Frederique Jr.DBJR6' 0"185Deerfield Beach, FL
36Takai AzzizDBJR6' 3"180Orcutt, CA
37Cortez ReddingDBFR5' 11"170Jonesboro, GA
43Tyler RoweDBSR5' 11"185Loganville, GA
47Stone StroudDBSO5' 8"160Coral Gables, FL
82Jack OlsenPKSR5' 10"195Wheaton, IL
97Will RochaPKJR5' 11"185Mandeville, LA
94Dylan JoycePSR6' 2"215Kyabram, Australia
96Tucker TevepaughPSO5' 11"200Bluffton, SC
46Adam BookerLSSR6' 4"215Holly Springs, NC
59Vance DiepenbrockLSFR5' 10"220Fort Wayne, IN

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+17.4, #6) · worst: 2022 (-3.6, #82)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#6
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far8-06-0#3+24.8+17.4+7.3
202513-36-2#6+17.4+6.0+11.4
202410-36-2#10+12.4+11.6+0.8
20237-63-5#33+5.1+3.0+2.1
20225-73-5#82-3.6-3.1-0.5
20217-55-3#52+3.4+3.50.0
20208-37-2#28+6.1+2.8+3.3
20196-74-4#47+2.1-3.3+5.5
20187-64-4#29+6.5-1.4+7.9
201710-37-1#14+10.4+3.8+6.6
20169-45-3#14+11.5+3.2+8.4
20158-55-3#55+3.0-0.3+3.2
20146-73-5#33+6.5+1.7+4.8

Miami's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →