ACC · 2026

Duke Blue Devils

Head coach Manny Diaz · Wallace Wade Stadium
3-01-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#21
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+7.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.9
36th in FBS
Defense
+4.5
15th in FBS
Schedule so far
-1.0
25th toughest
Projected
8.9-3.1
bowl-eligible 99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+7.4 now, +2.3 preseason · up 22 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#21

Final record odds

8.9-3.1 expected · most likely 9-3 (26%)
5-76-611%7-521%8-426%9-322%10-211%11-112-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs71TulaneW 17–3+11.0—ACC Network
2Sep 12@43IllinoisW 31–27+10.6—FS1
3Sep 19vs116StanfordCONFW 35–7+15.9—CW
4Sep 26vsWilliam & Mary FCSDuke −34.6 · o/u 45.7—98%ACCNX
5—Bye
6Oct 10@84Georgia TechCONFDuke −7.1 · o/u 48.2—68%
7Oct 17vs73North CarolinaCONFDuke −11.5 · o/u 40.6—78%
8Oct 23@28VirginiaCONFVirginia −1.4 · o/u 47.3—46%ESPN
9Oct 31vs119Boston CollegeCONFDuke −18.3 · o/u 45.4—89%
10Nov 7@60NC StateCONFDuke −3.2 · o/u 49.1—58%
11Nov 14@3MiamiCONFMiami −10.0 · o/u 46.2—26%
12Nov 20vs70ClemsonCONFDuke −10.1 · o/u 45.9—75%ESPN
13Nov 28@51Wake ForestCONFDuke −1.9 · o/u 51.4—55%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.21258th-0.02837th
Success rate41.3%96th39.4%66th
Explosiveness1.28657th1.0024th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.2%100th39.3%62nd
Rushing success rate40.2%100th37.7%49th
Passing success rate43.1%80th40.4%76th
Explosive run rate19.7%22nd4.3%6th
Explosive pass rate12.5%57th6.7%31st
Line yards / carry3.2260th2.9370th
Opportunity rate38.5%74th34.8%61st
Stuff rate18.0%93rd11.6%126th
Sack rate0.0%1st4.3%86th
3rd-down conversion38.9%94th31.4%35th
Red-zone TD rate71.4%45th60.0%63rd
Havoc rate9.3%23rd13.5%82nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.788th12.319th
Yards / game409.068th292.345th
Yards / play5.9668th4.6448th
Pass yards / game179.7107th213.079th
Yards / pass att.7.3091st6.2653rd
Completion %56.8%118th59.8%62nd
Rush yards / game229.325th79.319th
Yards / carry5.3036th2.9829th
3rd-down conv. %36.8%96th27.0%21st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6726th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.332nd2.3337th
Penalty yards / game81.7127th76.712th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Manny Diaz

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Walker EgetQBSR6' 3"235Santa Clarita, CA
10Dan MahanQBFR6' 2"200Burlington, NC
11Ari PatuQBSR6' 4"230Folsom, CA
12Blaine HipaQBSR6' 2"200Kailua, HI
13Terry Walker IIIQBFR6' 4"190Indianapolis, IN
16Lawrence GardnerQBFR6' 0"200Dallas, TX
0CJ Campbell Jr.RBSR5' 10"200Kaplan, LA
20Nate SheppardRBSO5' 10"205Mandeville, LA
22Jayvian TanelusRBFR5' 10"195Naples, FL
24Wilhelm Daal IIRBSR6' 1"215Amityville, NY
26CJ GiversRBFR5' 11"200Roswell, GA
28Cole DensonRBSO6' 0"200Rye, NY
83Paul Holyfield Jr.RBSR6' 0"200Los Angeles, CA
1Jamien LittleWRFR6' 2"185Hickory, NC
3Blake RohrerWRSR6' 3"215Woodbury, MN
4Jaivon SolomonWRFR6' 1"190Gray, GA
5Javen NicholasWRSR5' 9"190New Orleans, LA
6Jonah BurtonWRSR5' 11"210Simi Valley, CA
7Kavon SimmonsWRFR6' 1"190Wake Forest, NC
8Jayden MooreWRSO5' 8"190Sykesville, MD
9Kavon ConciauroWRFR6' 4"200Reidsville, GA
17Jared RichardsonWRSR6' 2"220Blakeslee, PA
18Brody KeefeWRFR6' 3"200Charlotte, NC
21Qeanu JohnsonWRFR5' 11"195Hamden, CT
88Paxon KetteringWRSO6' 4"200Bend, OR
89Jackson MaggioreWRFR6' 0"180San Diego, CA
15Jake TaylorTESR6' 5"240Apex, NC
44Nate KuriskyTESR6' 3"245Leesburg, VA
46Tony BoggsTEJR6' 4"295Wartrace, TN
80Benjamin MoseleyTEFR6' 4"200Centre, AL
81Brett ElliottTESO6' 3"240Holliston, MA
84Jack GaskinsTEFR6' 3"240Mclean, VA
85Jeremiah HasleyTESR6' 3"250Gibsonia, PA
54Daniel BoydOLFR6' 2"305Las Vegas, NV
55Ryan DalyOLSO6' 0"295Venice, FL
56Nick Del GrandeOLSR6' 4"300Lancaster, PA
60Sean StoverOLFR6' 4"305Prosper, TX
62Cole AllenOLFR6' 5"300Jackson, MS
63Bradley SmithOLSO6' 2"305Newnan, GA
64Jordan LarsenOLSR6' 3"310Harrisburg, SD
65Kai JacobowitzOLFR6' 7"315Carlsbad, CA
66Caleb DorrisOLJR6' 6"310White House, TN
71Jamin BrownOLFR6' 3"300Gadsden, AL
72Matt CraycraftOLSR6' 3"305Dallas, TX
74Reagan McCranieOLJR6' 2"315Rutherfordton, NC
75Micah SahakianOLSR6' 5"320Mount Prospect, IL
76Gemyel AllenOLSO6' 3"320Buford, GA
77Braden MillerOLSR6' 6"315Aurora, CO
78Nathan KutufarisOLFR6' 5"300Springfield, PA
79Roman FinaOLFR6' 4"295Tucson, AZ
10Tyshon ReedDEJR6' 3"250Moultrie, GA
12Bryce DavisDESO6' 3"265Greensboro, NC
13Obinna UmehDEFR6' 3"230Houston, TX
15Kevin O'ConnorDEJR6' 4"245Easton, MD
18Kobe SmithDESO6' 3"225Chattanooga, TN
43Semaj TurnerDESO6' 3"255Winston-Salem, NC
90Tommy RupleyDEFR6' 4"240Acton, MA
93Sampson OnuohaDEFR6' 3"240London, England
98Jaylen CarlDESO6' 4"250High Point, NC
44David AndersonDTJR6' 4"290Hampton, VA
50Chadwicke Cannon Jr.DTFR6' 1"280Port Orange, FL
55Julius ColumbusDTFR6' 1"285Gainesville, GA
88Bariate KaraDTFR6' 5"290Loganville, GA
91Owen WafleDTSO6' 2"285Middletown, NJ
95Preston WatsonDTJR6' 1"300Lake Mary, FL
97Ayden CainDTFR6' 1"280Gainesville, GA
99Dakota QuinonezDTSR6' 1"290Moore, SC
7Nick Morris Jr.LBSR6' 3"235Fairfield, CT
11Derrick Brown Jr.LBSO6' 2"225Waxhaw, NC
19Jon MorrisLBSO6' 2"215Fairfield, CT
24Bradley GompersLBSO6' 5"230Pittsburgh, PA
30Will Felder Jr.LBFR6' 0"195Willingboro, NJ
31Elliott SchaperLBSO6' 3"220Austin, TX
32Tony GrimmerLBFR5' 11"205Alpine, UT
33Colsen GattenLBFR6' 1"220Pittsburgh, PA
34Luke MergottLBJR6' 3"225Berlin, MD
40Asher WassermanLBFR6' 2"225Hamden, CT
42Kendall JohnsonLBJR6' 3"225Gaithersburg, MD
0Dylan FlowersCBSR5' 10"185Playa Del Rey, CA
1Kyon LoudCBSO6' 2"190Richmond, CA
3Landan CallahanCBSO5' 11"185Rural Hall, NC
4Evan SmithCBSR5' 10"185Birmingham, AL
5Kimari RobinsonCBJR5' 10"180Miramar, FL
9Che OjarikreCBSR6' 2"205Alpharetta, GA
23Kolbe HarmonCBFR5' 10"180Brentwood, TN
26Tyson SanfordCBFR5' 11"195Suwanee, GA
28Kaleb LanierCBFR6' 0"190Decatur, GA
2Patrick Smith-YoungSSR5' 9"184Sugar Land, TX
6Leon Griffin IIISJR5' 11"195Virginia Beach, VA
8DaShawn StoneSJR6' 3"195Asheville, NC
21KD CottonSFR5' 9"185Charlotte, NC
29Brady WinterSFR5' 11"200New York, NY
35Andrew PellicciottaSSO5' 11"200Malvern, PA
37Lyrik PettisSFR6' 0"195Shelby, NC
25Gavin StrangePKFR5' 11"175Southlake, TX
31Mika LevyPKFR6' 3"240Mclean, VA
39Cosme SalasPKSO5' 7"185Palmetto Bay, FL
41Kade ReynoldsonPJR6' 2"195Gold Coast, Australia
49Jack RoniloLSJR6' 1"215Birmingham, AL
52Jake FitzgeraldLSSR6' 0"205La Canada, CA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →