ACC · 2019 · Final

Duke Blue Devils 2019

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#63
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-0.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.4
83rd in FBS
Defense
+0.8
55th in FBS
Schedule
+1.2
43rd toughest
Preseason
+1.8
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.6 now, +1.8 preseason · down 17 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#63

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31vs4AlabamaNEUTRALL 3–42-8.2—ABC
2Sep 7vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 45–13+4.4—ACCNX
3Sep 14@94Middle TennesseeW 41–18+21.0—
4—Bye
5Sep 27@49Virginia TechCONFW 45–10+32.2—ESPN
6Oct 5vs66PittsburghCONFL 30–33-6.4—ACC Network
7Oct 12vs113Georgia TechCONFW 41–23+6.1—ACCNX
8Oct 19@37VirginiaCONFL 14–48-20.3—ACC Network
9Oct 26@34North CarolinaCONFL 17–20+4.8—ACCNX
10—Bye
11Nov 9vs8Notre DameL 7–38-14.6—ACC Network
12Nov 16vs75SyracuseCONFL 6–49-35.2—ACC Network
13Nov 23@52Wake ForestCONFL 27–39-8.3—ACC Network
14Nov 30vs47MiamiCONFW 27–17+9.5—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.5%116th37.6%18th
Rushing success rate40.2%101st40.2%34th
Passing success rate34.9%112th34.8%7th
Explosive run rate9.3%130th14.5%60th
Explosive pass rate8.0%119th10.8%60th
Line yards / carry2.8889th2.8745th
Opportunity rate34.4%112th38.3%65th
Stuff rate16.1%31st19.6%56th
Sack rate6.5%77th7.9%24th
3rd-down conversion36.4%106th39.8%59th
Red-zone TD rate57.7%85th60.0%54th
Havoc rate13.0%76th14.3%26th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.493rd29.274th
Yards / game329.7114th——
Yards / play4.39125th——
Pass yards / game179.3110th——
Yards / pass att.5.69124th——
Completion %56.4%95th——
Rush yards / game150.379th——
Yards / carry3.64109th——
3rd-down conv. %32.8%116th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.33130th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3386th——
Penalty yards / game45.328th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →