ACC · 2019 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2019

7-64-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#34
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+5.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.2
25th in FBS
Defense
+0.9
53rd in FBS
Schedule
+0.4
53rd toughest
Preseason
-3.2
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+5.2 now, -3.2 preseason · up 62 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#34

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31vs55South CarolinaNEUTRALW 24–20+5.0—ESPN
2Sep 7vs47MiamiCONFW 28–25+2.5—ACC Network
3Sep 13@52Wake ForestL 18–24-2.3—ESPN
4Sep 21vs17Appalachian StateL 31–34+5.6—ACCNX
5Sep 28vs3ClemsonCONFL 20–21+18.1—ABC
6Oct 5@113Georgia TechCONFW 38–22+9.4—ACC Network
7—Bye
8Oct 19@49Virginia TechCONFL 41–43+2.4—ACCNX
9Oct 26vs63DukeCONFW 20–17-0.3—ACCNX
10Nov 2vs37VirginiaCONFL 31–38-5.1—ACC Network
11—Bye
12Nov 14@66PittsburghCONFL 27–34-5.2—ESPN
13Nov 23vsMercer FCSW 56–7+10.4—ACCNX
14Nov 30@106NC StateCONFW 41–10+22.2—ACC Network
BowlsDec 27vs64TempleNEUTRALW 55–13+29.6—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.3%42nd41.1%52nd
Rushing success rate43.7%70th40.7%37th
Passing success rate46.9%16th41.6%69th
Explosive run rate17.6%25th12.7%27th
Explosive pass rate13.9%19th9.7%37th
Line yards / carry3.0751st2.9463rd
Opportunity rate42.3%25th36.1%36th
Stuff rate20.6%92nd21.1%36th
Sack rate7.7%101st6.6%53rd
3rd-down conversion43.1%40th38.2%43rd
Red-zone TD rate54.0%98th58.5%43rd
Havoc rate13.7%93rd13.6%42nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.229th23.540th
Yards / game474.012th——
Yards / play6.1924th——
Pass yards / game285.925th——
Yards / pass att.8.6213th——
Completion %61.5%56th——
Rush yards / game188.238th——
Yards / carry4.6350th——
3rd-down conv. %41.1%48th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.9210th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.85113th——
Penalty yards / game53.970th——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →