
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs East Tennessee State FCS | W 42–7 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 100Charlotte | W 56–41 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 34North Carolina | W 34–31 | +10.8 | — | ACCNX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 102Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 56–37 | +10.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | @ 24LouisianaCONF | W 17–7 | +21.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 98UL MonroeCONF | W 52–7 | +22.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 119South AlabamaCONF | W 30–3 | +15.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 65Georgia SouthernCONF | L 21–24 | -6.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 55South Carolina | W 20–15 | +8.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 108Georgia StateCONF | W 56–27 | +21.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 120Texas StateCONF | W 35–13 | +6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 91TroyCONF | W 48–13 | +26.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 24Louisiana | W 45–38 | +12.8 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 90UABNEUTRAL | W 31–17 | +10.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.3% | 59th | 36.9% | 10th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.3% | 76th | 37.6% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 43.2% | 53rd | 36.3% | 16th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.0% | 21st | 14.7% | 63rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 83rd | 9.0% | 24th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.03 | 61st | 2.56 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.3% | 69th | 33.5% | 16th |
| Stuff rate | 17.0% | 39th | 19.3% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 49th | 7.1% | 40th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 31st | 35.6% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.6% | 10th | 65.5% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 65th | 14.3% | 26th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.8 | 9th | 20.0 | 18th |
| Yards / game | 433.1 | 39th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.14 | 31st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 201.7 | 93rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.63 | 58th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.4% | 40th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 231.4 | 16th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.41 | 10th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.5% | 26th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.64 | 3rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 12th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.2 | 112th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →