The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Alabama State FCS | W 24–19 | -17.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 129Akron | W 31–20 | -9.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 119South Alabama | W 35–3 | +12.3 | — | NFL Net |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 68Western KentuckyCONF | L 13–20 | -5.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 116RiceCONF | W 35–20 | +1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 123UTSACONF | W 33–14 | +7.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 124Old DominionCONF | W 38–14 | +6.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 46Tennessee | L 7–30 | -17.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 81Southern MississippiCONF | L 2–37 | -27.5 | — | NFL Net |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 37–10 | +1.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 62Louisiana TechCONF | W 20–14 | +2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 105North TexasCONF | W 26–21 | +0.8 | — | |
| 15 | Dec 7 | @ 29Florida Atlantic | L 6–49 | -20.7 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 17Appalachian StateNEUTRAL | L 17–31 | -2.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.7% | 100th | 34.5% | 3rd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.6% | 112th | 34.1% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 41.2% | 73rd | 34.8% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 82nd | 13.7% | 38th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.9% | 14th | 8.5% | 14th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 114th | 2.48 | 4th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.4% | 112th | 33.5% | 16th |
| Stuff rate | 20.8% | 96th | 25.1% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 84th | 7.8% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.5% | 122nd | 30.9% | 6th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.5% | 121st | 62.5% | 68th |
| Havoc rate | 14.3% | 101st | 16.4% | 3rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.1 | 104th | 21.6 | 24th |
| Yards / game | 351.9 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.35 | 88th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 201.1 | 94th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.33 | 24th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.8% | 94th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 150.8 | 76th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.78 | 101st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.3% | 121st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 118th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.79 | 49th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.9 | 124th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →