Final TDC rank
#105
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-6.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.2
68th in FBS
Defense
-6.6
116th in FBS
Schedule
-6.5
123rd toughest
Preseason
+1.3
rating going in
2019 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-6.8 now, +1.3 preseason · down 49 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 51–31 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 32SMU | L 27–49 | -13.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 56California | L 17–23 | -3.0 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 123UTSACONF | W 45–3 | +13.4 | — | |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 70Houston | L 25–46 | -24.8 | — | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 81Southern MississippiCONF | L 27–45 | -17.6 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 94Middle TennesseeCONF | W 33–30 | -4.2 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 100CharlotteCONF | L 38–39 | -4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 52–26 | +1.2 | — | NFL Net |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 62Louisiana TechCONF | L 17–52 | -25.7 | — | |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 116RiceCONF | L 14–20 | -13.8 | — | NFL Net |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 90UABCONF | L 21–26 | -11.3 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 80th | 41.6% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.8% | 106th | 41.5% | 43rd |
| Passing success rate | 42.4% | 63rd | 41.8% | 70th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 86th | 16.3% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 76th | 8.6% | 16th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.87 | 95th | 3.04 | 77th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.5% | 85th | 36.6% | 45th |
| Stuff rate | 21.7% | 104th | 16.6% | 97th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 45th | 7.4% | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.7% | 97th | 39.5% | 56th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.6% | 40th | 65.0% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 14.7% | 106th | 13.2% | 56th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.6 | 56th | 32.5 | 101st |
| Yards / game | 418.6 | 54th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.73 | 59th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 283.3 | 27th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.49 | 65th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 43rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 135.3 | 99th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.10 | 82nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.0% | 94th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 74th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.0 | 79th | — | — |
Players
60 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
60 players
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →