The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Campbell FCS | W 43–14 | +3.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 81Southern Mississippi | L 42–47 | -9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 129Akron | W 35–7 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 82Arkansas StateCONF | L 43–50 | -12.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 41Missouri | L 10–42 | -20.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 16 | vs 119South AlabamaCONF | W 37–13 | +9.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 108Georgia StateCONF | L 33–52 | -23.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 102Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 35–36 | -4.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 65Georgia SouthernCONF | W 49–28 | +17.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 120Texas StateCONF | W 63–27 | +18.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 24LouisianaCONF | L 3–53 | -22.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 17Appalachian StateCONF | L 13–48 | -19.2 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.0% | 17th | 45.0% | 90th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.1% | 22nd | 44.0% | 76th |
| Passing success rate | 48.0% | 12th | 45.9% | 110th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.9% | 12th | 15.9% | 87th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 53rd | 11.0% | 61st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.30 | 19th | 3.06 | 82nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 44th | 38.9% | 75th |
| Stuff rate | 14.8% | 14th | 17.6% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 4.9% | 41st | 7.7% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.7% | 7th | 47.7% | 118th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.2% | 38th | 63.4% | 72nd |
| Havoc rate | 13.2% | 81st | 11.2% | 105th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.0 | 25th | 34.8 | 111th |
| Yards / game | 456.3 | 18th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.95 | 41st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 313.2 | 9th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.65 | 57th | — | — |
| Completion % | 64.4% | 25th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 143.1 | 90th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.27 | 73rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.9% | 15th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 81st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.8 | 51st | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →