The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Elon FCS | W 26–3 | -1.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 91Northwestern | W 26–20 | +4.5 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 77UConn | W 26–21 | +1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 130Middle Tennessee | W 45–17 | +11.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 71North CarolinaCONF | W 21–20 | -1.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 44Georgia TechCONF | L 14–24 | -3.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 96Florida StateCONF | W 23–16 | -0.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 11SMUCONF | L 27–28 | +8.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 10MiamiCONF | L 31–53 | -6.9 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 78NC StateCONF | W 29–19 | +11.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 27Virginia TechCONF | W 31–28 | +7.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 97Wake ForestCONF | W 23–17 | +3.6 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 5Ole MissNEUTRAL | L 20–52 | -10.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.2% | 114th | 38.7% | 24th |
| Rushing success rate | 33.9% | 131st | 41.8% | 53rd |
| Passing success rate | 41.4% | 60th | 35.5% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.3% | 133rd | 16.3% | 106th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 84th | 9.2% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.59 | 132nd | 2.90 | 36th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.9% | 132nd | 39.5% | 88th |
| Stuff rate | 23.8% | 130th | 21.0% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 2.4% | 8th | 8.9% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.4% | 129th | 36.6% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.4% | 39th | 52.5% | 25th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 73rd | 11.6% | 9th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.7 | 72nd | 24.9 | 63rd |
| Yards / game | 336.8 | 108th | 363.1 | 58th |
| Yards / play | 5.09 | 106th | 4.78 | 23rd |
| Pass yards / game | 244.3 | 44th | 194.8 | 49th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.80 | 101st | 6.54 | 34th |
| Completion % | 60.0% | 84th | 58.0% | 33rd |
| Rush yards / game | 92.5 | 128th | 149.6 | 68th |
| Yards / carry | 3.15 | 127th | 3.75 | 35th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.6% | 130th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 67th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.92 | 8th | 3.38 | 3rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.1 | 62nd | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →