The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 81Maryland | L 7–50 | -30.6 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Merrimack FCS | W 63–17 | +7.5 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 53Duke | L 21–26 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 117Florida Atlantic | W 48–14 | +15.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 86Buffalo | W 47–3 | +24.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 127Temple | W 29–20 | -7.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 97Wake Forest | L 20–23 | -10.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 104Rice | W 17–10 | -2.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 118Georgia State | W 34–27 | -5.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 115UAB | W 31–23 | +1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 47Syracuse | L 24–31 | -0.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 126Massachusetts | W 47–42 | -5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 71North CarolinaNEUTRAL | W 27–14 | +13.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 73rd | 39.4% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.6% | 84th | 42.2% | 56th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 69th | 36.7% | 26th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 72nd | 13.9% | 61st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.5% | 120th | 9.3% | 50th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.12 | 73rd | 2.82 | 25th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.9% | 89th | 38.4% | 73rd |
| Stuff rate | 18.2% | 90th | 20.7% | 23rd |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 26th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.3% | 78th | 29.9% | 4th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.8% | 55th | 48.7% | 7th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 18th | 8.5% | 61st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 37th | 23.1 | 37th |
| Yards / game | 397.6 | 56th | 347.3 | 46th |
| Yards / play | 5.58 | 73rd | 4.96 | 36th |
| Pass yards / game | 198.4 | 100th | 199.5 | 56th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.51 | 120th | 6.46 | 29th |
| Completion % | 56.1% | 113th | 61.9% | 86th |
| Rush yards / game | 199.2 | 22nd | 132.3 | 39th |
| Yards / carry | 5.02 | 28th | 3.80 | 40th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.2% | 88th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 45th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 13th | 1.92 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.7 | 78th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →