The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 83Sam Houston | L 14–34 | -25.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Texas Southern FCS | W 69–7 | +13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 93Houston | L 7–33 | -26.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 31ArmyCONF | L 14–37 | -13.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 120CharlotteCONF | L 20–21 | -13.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 72UTSACONF | W 29–27 | -0.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 32TulaneCONF | L 10–24 | -4.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 77UConn | L 10–17 | -5.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 36NavyCONF | W 24–10 | +16.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 41MemphisCONF | L 20–27 | +0.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 115UABCONF | L 14–40 | -31.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 80South FloridaCONF | W 35–28 | +1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 33.8% | 130th | 36.3% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.2% | 127th | 40.3% | 35th |
| Passing success rate | 32.4% | 126th | 31.6% | 1st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 81st | 16.0% | 102nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.9% | 111th | 8.6% | 30th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.87 | 113th | 3.18 | 79th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.9% | 126th | 34.6% | 29th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 64th | 14.0% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 1.4% | 3rd | 7.9% | 11th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.1% | 122nd | 35.6% | 25th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 42.9% | 129th | 57.7% | 47th |
| Havoc rate | 6.0% | 9th | 7.3% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.2 | 114th | 25.4 | 68th |
| Yards / game | 352.9 | 97th | 334.6 | 35th |
| Yards / play | 5.36 | 83rd | 4.84 | 28th |
| Pass yards / game | 239.0 | 51st | 155.0 | 4th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.00 | 130th | 6.42 | 27th |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 67th | 55.4% | 11th |
| Rush yards / game | 113.9 | 114th | 160.8 | 85th |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 58th | 4.10 | 63rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.9% | 114th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 117th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.92 | 7th | 2.75 | 24th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.4 | 91st | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →