The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 132Kennesaw State | W 28–16 | -8.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 51Texas State | L 10–49 | -23.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 3Texas | L 7–56 | -12.9 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Houston Christian FCS | W 45–7 | +4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 79East CarolinaCONF | L 20–30 | -9.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 104RiceCONF | L 27–29 | -5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 38–24 | +1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 131TulsaCONF | L 45–46 | -15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 41MemphisCONF | W 44–36 | +9.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 89North TexasCONF | W 48–27 | +14.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 127TempleCONF | W 51–27 | +7.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 31ArmyCONF | L 24–29 | +4.4 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | @ 101Coastal Carolina | W 44–15 | +23.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.0% | 102nd | 35.3% | 2nd |
| Rushing success rate | 37.4% | 121st | 33.9% | 1st |
| Passing success rate | 42.2% | 48th | 36.5% | 21st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 113th | 10.4% | 9th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.0% | 50th | 13.5% | 127th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.09 | 80th | 2.44 | 1st |
| Opportunity rate | 38.2% | 69th | 29.3% | 1st |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 99th | 24.9% | 4th |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 36th | 8.0% | 10th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.2% | 61st | 34.0% | 13th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 49th | 55.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.7% | 29th | 12.0% | 6th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.1 | 30th | 30.1 | 102nd |
| Yards / game | 452.5 | 11th | 375.1 | 71st |
| Yards / play | 5.72 | 60th | 5.31 | 61st |
| Pass yards / game | 283.5 | 11th | 243.7 | 119th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.24 | 74th | 8.31 | 119th |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 56th | 58.2% | 35th |
| Rush yards / game | 169.0 | 53rd | 109.3 | 11th |
| Yards / carry | 4.48 | 60th | 3.08 | 11th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 87th | 3.23 | 5th |
| Penalty yards / game | 81.1 | 132nd | — | — |
76 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →