
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Norfolk State FCS | W 42–3 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 74Old Dominion | W 20–14 | +7.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 94App State | L 19–21 | -9.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 84Liberty | L 24–35 | -11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 72UTSACONF | W 30–20 | +7.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 120CharlotteCONF | L 24–55 | -33.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 31ArmyCONF | L 28–45 | -7.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 127TempleCONF | W 56–34 | +5.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 49–14 | +15.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 14 | @ 131TulsaCONF | W 38–31 | -7.1 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 89North TexasCONF | W 40–28 | +10.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 36NavyCONF | L 20–34 | -11.6 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 78NC StateNEUTRAL | W 26–21 | +3.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.3% | 63rd | 39.7% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 71st | 37.1% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 42.1% | 50th | 42.7% | 91st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 93rd | 12.3% | 27th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 28th | 10.4% | 71st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 41st | 2.70 | 13th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 73rd | 34.3% | 25th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 60th | 23.3% | 10th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 23rd | 3.7% | 121st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.9% | 19th | 41.3% | 84th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.5% | 78th | 60.5% | 59th |
| Havoc rate | 7.8% | 58th | 10.2% | 21st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.0 | 35th | 27.8 | 84th |
| Yards / game | 436.4 | 24th | 405.1 | 100th |
| Yards / play | 6.16 | 26th | 5.31 | 63rd |
| Pass yards / game | 264.0 | 27th | 225.2 | 100th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.02 | 31st | 7.20 | 68th |
| Completion % | 60.3% | 80th | 60.0% | 57th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.4 | 50th | 169.8 | 94th |
| Yards / carry | 4.76 | 42nd | 4.07 | 59th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.9% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.31 | 133rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.69 | 53rd | 1.77 | 86th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.6 | 112th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →