
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs East Tennessee State FCS | W 38–10 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 16Clemson | L 20–66 | -19.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 79East Carolina | W 21–19 | +2.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 19 | vs 55South AlabamaCONF | L 14–48 | -28.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 84Liberty | App State −0.8 · o/u 57.6 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 49MarshallCONF | L 37–52 | -9.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 63LouisianaCONF | L 24–34 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 118Georgia StateCONF | W 33–26 | -5.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 74Old DominionCONF | W 28–20 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 24–38 | -16.6 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 46James MadisonCONF | W 34–20 | +15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 20–29 | -7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.0% | 76th | 48.4% | 126th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.9% | 65th | 52.4% | 131st |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 90th | 43.5% | 100th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.6% | 32nd | 18.0% | 122nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 64th | 11.9% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 77th | 3.58 | 129th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.6% | 64th | 44.1% | 123rd |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 88th | 13.3% | 113th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 12th | 6.3% | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 55th | 47.7% | 119th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.9% | 97th | 67.6% | 96th |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 31st | 5.6% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 79th | 32.9 | 115th |
| Yards / game | 426.8 | 33rd | 412.6 | 104th |
| Yards / play | 5.91 | 44th | 6.34 | 121st |
| Pass yards / game | 273.0 | 19th | 203.7 | 63rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.66 | 45th | 8.38 | 121st |
| Completion % | 55.6% | 116th | 68.8% | 132nd |
| Rush yards / game | 153.8 | 77th | 197.8 | 118th |
| Yards / carry | 4.37 | 68th | 5.29 | 124th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.8% | 43rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 128th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.36 | 30th | 2.09 | 60th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.9 | 90th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →