
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 13South Carolina | L 19–23 | +9.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 79East Carolina | L 14–20 | -10.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 27Virginia Tech | L 17–37 | -15.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 68Bowling Green | W 30–27 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 37–45 | -10.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 118Georgia StateCONF | W 21–14 | 0.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 51Texas StateCONF | W 24–14 | +10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 75Georgia SouthernCONF | W 47–19 | +21.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 94App StateCONF | L 20–28 | -9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 46James MadisonCONF | L 32–35 | -1.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 49MarshallCONF | L 35–42 | -6.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 107Arkansas StateCONF | W 40–32 | +3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.0% | 76th | 38.3% | 19th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.5% | 30th | 38.7% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 35.4% | 116th | 37.7% | 36th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.5% | 5th | 14.2% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.51 | 10th | 3.12 | 66th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 23rd | 35.3% | 36th |
| Stuff rate | 12.4% | 13th | 16.9% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 7.8% | 117th | 5.6% | 59th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.8% | 73rd | 41.7% | 87th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.3% | 10th | 63.6% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 6.9% | 36th | 7.3% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.0 | 51st | 28.5 | 89th |
| Yards / game | 402.7 | 54th | 410.4 | 102nd |
| Yards / play | 5.68 | 63rd | 5.56 | 79th |
| Pass yards / game | 192.9 | 103rd | 224.2 | 97th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.95 | 92nd | 7.63 | 92nd |
| Completion % | 58.6% | 97th | 61.0% | 72nd |
| Rush yards / game | 209.8 | 14th | 172.6 | 97th |
| Yards / carry | 5.23 | 18th | 4.27 | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.1% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 102nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 117th | 2.17 | 54th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.2 | 84th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →