The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Fordham FCS | W 41–17 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 4Penn State | L 27–34 | +11.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 20Texas A&M | L 20–26 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 74Old Dominion | L 27–30 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 119AkronCONF | W 27–20 | -0.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 69Northern IllinoisCONF | L 7–17 | -12.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 134Kent StateCONF | W 27–6 | -3.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 73ToledoCONF | W 41–26 | +17.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | W 23–13 | +2.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 12 | vs 103Western MichiganCONF | W 31–13 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 125Ball StateCONF | W 38–13 | +15.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 12–28 | -17.1 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 107Arkansas StateNEUTRAL | L 31–38 | -14.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.7% | 79th | 36.9% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.6% | 96th | 38.9% | 22nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.9% | 51st | 34.7% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.8% | 45th | 15.8% | 95th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 84th | 8.6% | 30th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 76th | 3.37 | 111th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.2% | 69th | 38.4% | 73rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.8% | 119th | 14.7% | 98th |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 69th | 7.7% | 15th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.8% | 98th | 33.3% | 10th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.4% | 85th | 50.0% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 8.4% | 80th | 8.1% | 71st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.1 | 78th | 22.2 | 30th |
| Yards / game | 377.5 | 77th | 333.3 | 34th |
| Yards / play | 5.63 | 69th | 5.13 | 47th |
| Pass yards / game | 240.6 | 48th | 167.5 | 16th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.46 | 58th | 6.51 | 33rd |
| Completion % | 65.9% | 18th | 57.8% | 30th |
| Rush yards / game | 136.8 | 89th | 147.9 | 64th |
| Yards / carry | 4.19 | 79th | 4.35 | 77th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.2% | 87th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.85 | 17th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 70th | 2.54 | 34th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.8 | 38th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →