
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | W 34–31 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 131Tulsa | W 28–24 | -15.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 22Michigan | L 18–28 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 30Iowa State | L 7–52 | -21.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 55South AlabamaCONF | W 18–16 | +1.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 51Texas StateCONF | L 9–41 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 133Southern MissCONF | W 44–28 | +0.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 95TroyCONF | W 34–31 | -4.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 63LouisianaCONF | L 19–55 | -24.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 118Georgia StateCONF | W 27–20 | 0.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 108UL MonroeCONF | W 28–21 | -3.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 74Old DominionCONF | L 32–40 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 68Bowling GreenNEUTRAL | W 38–31 | +7.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.9% | 95th | 48.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 42.7% | 89th | 51.9% | 129th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 91st | 44.3% | 106th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.7% | 67th | 20.0% | 131st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.8% | 114th | 14.8% | 133rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 60th | 3.55 | 128th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 76th | 46.9% | 132nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 56th | 15.7% | 85th |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 94th | 4.3% | 104th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.4% | 76th | 46.6% | 111th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.9% | 74th | 78.6% | 129th |
| Havoc rate | 8.1% | 69th | 8.4% | 64th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.9 | 88th | 32.1 | 109th |
| Yards / game | 384.4 | 68th | 462.1 | 129th |
| Yards / play | 5.18 | 97th | 6.74 | 131st |
| Pass yards / game | 227.5 | 67th | 241.9 | 116th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.69 | 107th | 8.36 | 120th |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 60th | 63.0% | 99th |
| Rush yards / game | 156.9 | 74th | 212.0 | 125th |
| Yards / carry | 4.18 | 80th | 5.71 | 132nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.9% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.69 | 106th | 1.46 | 119th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.7 | 72nd | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →