
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 60Kentucky | L 0–31 | -22.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs SE Louisiana FCS | W 35–10 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 80South Florida | L 24–49 | -29.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 61Jacksonville State | L 7–44 | -25.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 63LouisianaCONF | L 13–23 | -11.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 108UL MonroeCONF | L 21–38 | -22.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 107Arkansas StateCONF | L 28–44 | -26.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 46James MadisonCONF | L 15–32 | -10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 49MarshallCONF | L 3–37 | -26.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 51Texas StateCONF | L 3–58 | -29.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 55South AlabamaCONF | L 14–35 | -21.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 95TroyCONF | L 20–52 | -28.8 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.5% | 129th | 44.1% | 97th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.7% | 109th | 45.0% | 85th |
| Passing success rate | 29.8% | 131st | 43.0% | 95th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 50th | 20.5% | 132nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.0% | 50th | 11.5% | 101st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.69 | 128th | 3.32 | 100th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.9% | 89th | 42.1% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 25.1% | 132nd | 17.4% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 12.4% | 134th | 5.7% | 56th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 29.5% | 132nd | 44.3% | 102nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.3% | 91st | 73.3% | 121st |
| Havoc rate | 15.9% | 134th | 7.6% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 14.8 | 132nd | 40.1 | 131st |
| Yards / game | 283.8 | 131st | 449.2 | 122nd |
| Yards / play | 4.40 | 131st | 6.61 | 128th |
| Pass yards / game | 174.9 | 120th | 206.6 | 69th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.62 | 112th | 8.09 | 116th |
| Completion % | 52.4% | 128th | 65.1% | 118th |
| Rush yards / game | 108.9 | 119th | 232.7 | 133rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.17 | 125th | 5.89 | 133rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 24.7% | 133rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.42 | 134th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.75 | 130th | 1.67 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.3 | 49th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →