
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 89North Texas | L 38–52 | -20.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 45Ohio | L 20–27 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 87–10 | +18.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 19 | @ 94App StateCONF | W 48–14 | +25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 15LSU | L 10–42 | -14.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 107Arkansas StateCONF | L 16–18 | -6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 15 | vs 95TroyCONF | W 25–9 | +8.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 108UL MonroeCONF | W 46–17 | +15.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 30–34 | -7.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 63LouisianaCONF | W 24–22 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 133Southern MissCONF | W 35–14 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 51Texas StateCONF | L 38–45 | -6.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 14 | vs 103Western MichiganNEUTRAL | W 30–23 | +1.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 20th | 38.1% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.9% | 6th | 38.9% | 22nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.4% | 60th | 37.4% | 31st |
| Explosive run rate | 20.4% | 2nd | 14.7% | 80th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 72nd | 8.3% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.66 | 5th | 2.83 | 26th |
| Opportunity rate | 47.4% | 3rd | 33.4% | 19th |
| Stuff rate | 13.8% | 29th | 16.3% | 77th |
| Sack rate | 3.0% | 19th | 4.3% | 104th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.6% | 103rd | 34.9% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.0% | 105th | 48.8% | 8th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 18th | 7.9% | 75th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.8 | 16th | 25.6 | 69th |
| Yards / game | 442.3 | 18th | 391.2 | 88th |
| Yards / play | 6.71 | 6th | 5.61 | 82nd |
| Pass yards / game | 243.5 | 45th | 238.2 | 112th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.10 | 28th | 7.52 | 88th |
| Completion % | 65.0% | 30th | 64.7% | 114th |
| Rush yards / game | 198.8 | 23rd | 142.4 | 54th |
| Yards / carry | 5.76 | 5th | 4.06 | 58th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 80th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 21st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 26th | 1.62 | 99th |
| Penalty yards / game | 71.3 | 126th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →