The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 47Syracuse | L 22–38 | -9.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 55South Alabama | W 27–20 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Morgan State FCS | W 21–6 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 60Kentucky | L 6–41 | -24.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 119AkronCONF | W 30–10 | +7.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | W 27–25 | -6.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 20–30 | -5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 86BuffaloCONF | W 47–16 | +20.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 6 | @ 134Kent StateCONF | W 41–0 | +10.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 13 | vs 113Eastern MichiganCONF | W 35–10 | +13.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 20 | @ 73ToledoCONF | W 24–7 | +19.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 125Ball StateCONF | W 42–21 | +6.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 56Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | W 38–3 | +29.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 61Jacksonville StateNEUTRAL | W 30–27 | +3.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.2% | 33rd | 37.9% | 17th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.4% | 31st | 35.7% | 6th |
| Passing success rate | 44.5% | 34th | 39.6% | 62nd |
| Explosive run rate | 18.7% | 10th | 12.1% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 72nd | 8.1% | 20th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.33 | 35th | 2.76 | 18th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.0% | 37th | 31.9% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 60th | 21.2% | 17th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 64th | 6.4% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.2% | 24th | 36.6% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.1% | 12th | 55.9% | 35th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 73rd | 9.4% | 38th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.3 | 56th | 18.3 | 11th |
| Yards / game | 406.1 | 49th | 304.6 | 9th |
| Yards / play | 6.05 | 35th | 4.74 | 19th |
| Pass yards / game | 192.4 | 104th | 194.4 | 48th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.81 | 36th | 6.86 | 49th |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 47th | 61.1% | 74th |
| Rush yards / game | 213.7 | 12th | 92.0 | 5th |
| Yards / carry | 5.21 | 19th | 3.00 | 6th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.6% | 11th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.57 | 82nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 40th | 2.50 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.5 | 35th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →