
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Stony Brook FCS | W 45–3 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 27Virginia Tech | L 14–31 | -7.1 | — | CW |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 1Ohio State | L 14–49 | -3.3 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 103Western Michigan | W 27–20 | -1.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 94App StateCONF | W 52–37 | +7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 23–24 | +0.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 118Georgia StateCONF | W 35–20 | +2.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 108UL MonroeCONF | W 28–23 | -5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 133Southern MissCONF | W 37–3 | +12.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 31–19 | +4.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 74Old DominionCONF | W 42–35 | +8.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 46James MadisonCONF | W 35–33 | +8.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 7 | @ 63Louisiana | W 31–3 | +28.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.8% | 60th | 40.7% | 53rd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.1% | 50th | 44.4% | 77th |
| Passing success rate | 40.5% | 73rd | 36.6% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 16.8% | 29th | 14.6% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 64th | 9.1% | 43rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.50 | 11th | 3.16 | 75th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.2% | 11th | 40.5% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 36th | 17.2% | 61st |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 56th | 7.3% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.4% | 84th | 32.7% | 8th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 87th | 65.6% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 5.8% | 6th | 9.6% | 34th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.2 | 42nd | 24.0 | 51st |
| Yards / game | 382.8 | 70th | 378.1 | 80th |
| Yards / play | 5.79 | 55th | 5.20 | 51st |
| Pass yards / game | 181.1 | 115th | 181.4 | 35th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.07 | 84th | 6.78 | 45th |
| Completion % | 58.3% | 99th | 57.3% | 21st |
| Rush yards / game | 201.7 | 18th | 179.0 | 102nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.15 | 22nd | 4.42 | 79th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 65th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 6th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 26th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.5 | 27th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →