
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 44Georgia Tech | L 12–35 | -16.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Chattanooga FCS | W 24–21 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 50Vanderbilt | W 36–32 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 21–38 | -20.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 74Old DominionCONF | L 14–21 | -10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 49MarshallCONF | L 20–35 | -9.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 94App StateCONF | L 26–33 | -8.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 77UConn | L 27–34 | -5.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 46James MadisonCONF | L 7–38 | -20.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 107Arkansas StateCONF | L 20–27 | -17.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 51Texas StateCONF | W 52–44 | +13.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 27–48 | -29.0 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 87th | 47.7% | 120th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 92nd | 49.1% | 115th |
| Passing success rate | 40.5% | 73rd | 45.9% | 117th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 61st | 18.4% | 126th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 60th | 11.9% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 92nd | 3.47 | 122nd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.6% | 54th | 45.1% | 130th |
| Stuff rate | 18.0% | 86th | 14.0% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 47th | 4.4% | 101st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.9% | 90th | 46.2% | 106th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 107th | 77.6% | 128th |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 92nd | 6.2% | 116th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.8 | 89th | 37.0 | 126th |
| Yards / game | 389.0 | 64th | 418.7 | 114th |
| Yards / play | 5.58 | 72nd | 6.10 | 111th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.8 | 38th | 200.8 | 60th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.83 | 96th | 7.74 | 100th |
| Completion % | 60.4% | 78th | 63.2% | 102nd |
| Rush yards / game | 133.3 | 92nd | 210.3 | 123rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.38 | 66th | 5.23 | 120th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.6% | 109th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.83 | 60th | 1.50 | 112th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.1 | 55th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →