
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 24 | vs 96Florida StateCONFNEUTRAL | W 24–21 | -2.0 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 118Georgia State | W 35–12 | +10.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 47SyracuseCONF | L 28–31 | +3.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs VMI FCS | W 59–7 | +9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 14LouisvilleCONF | L 19–31 | +1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 53DukeCONF | W 24–14 | +9.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 71North CarolinaCONF | W 41–34 | +9.7 | — | CW |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 2Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 13–31 | +1.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 27Virginia TechCONF | L 6–21 | -5.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 10MiamiCONF | W 28–23 | +14.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 21 | vs 78NC StateCONF | W 30–29 | -3.4 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 9Georgia | L 42–44 | +14.3 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 50VanderbiltNEUTRAL | L 27–35 | -4.8 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.1% | 24th | 42.9% | 83rd |
| Rushing success rate | 47.4% | 31st | 41.5% | 51st |
| Passing success rate | 46.8% | 17th | 44.1% | 104th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 54th | 15.0% | 84th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 80th | 9.7% | 56th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.98 | 96th | 2.67 | 10th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.4% | 95th | 35.7% | 44th |
| Stuff rate | 18.2% | 90th | 25.1% | 3rd |
| Sack rate | 2.1% | 7th | 3.8% | 117th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 55th | 36.2% | 30th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.1% | 43rd | 75.7% | 125th |
| Havoc rate | 7.0% | 38th | 9.8% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.3 | 64th | 24.9 | 61st |
| Yards / game | 424.5 | 35th | 342.9 | 42nd |
| Yards / play | 6.05 | 34th | 5.51 | 76th |
| Pass yards / game | 237.5 | 54th | 211.3 | 81st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.50 | 57th | 7.16 | 66th |
| Completion % | 65.3% | 24th | 63.1% | 101st |
| Rush yards / game | 187.0 | 32nd | 122.2 | 30th |
| Yards / carry | 4.95 | 31st | 4.07 | 61st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 65th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.77 | 13th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.69 | 3rd | 1.38 | 123rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.9 | 21st | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →