
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 20Texas A&M | W 23–13 | +21.1 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 69Northern Illinois | L 14–16 | -4.5 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 122Purdue | W 66–7 | +28.7 | — | CBS |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 56Miami (OH) | W 28–3 | +23.2 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 14Louisville | W 31–24 | +15.0 | — | Peacock |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 105Stanford | W 49–7 | +21.3 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 44Georgia TechNEUTRAL | W 31–13 | +21.8 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 36NavyNEUTRAL | W 51–14 | +33.7 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 96Florida State | W 52–3 | +25.1 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 87Virginia | W 35–14 | +14.8 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 31ArmyNEUTRAL | W 49–14 | +34.6 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 18USC | W 49–35 | +25.6 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 8Indiana | W 27–17 | +21.0 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 9GeorgiaNEUTRAL | W 23–10 | +26.6 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 9 | vs 4Penn StateNEUTRAL | W 27–24 | +19.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 20 | vs 1Ohio StateNEUTRAL | L 23–34 | +10.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.7% | 11th | 38.8% | 28th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.1% | 19th | 45.2% | 86th |
| Passing success rate | 48.4% | 11th | 31.7% | 2nd |
| Explosive run rate | 16.3% | 37th | 12.6% | 35th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 105th | 9.0% | 40th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.22 | 55th | 3.18 | 77th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.7% | 27th | 40.3% | 95th |
| Stuff rate | 15.4% | 43rd | 15.0% | 95th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 41st | 7.3% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.8% | 53rd | 34.5% | 14th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.0% | 15th | 57.6% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 86th | 9.5% | 37th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.6 | 7th | 15.5 | 4th |
| Yards / game | 399.1 | 55th | 307.4 | 11th |
| Yards / play | 6.15 | 28th | 4.58 | 10th |
| Pass yards / game | 198.1 | 101st | 151.5 | 2nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.12 | 80th | 6.01 | 9th |
| Completion % | 66.5% | 13th | 52.1% | 1st |
| Rush yards / game | 200.9 | 19th | 138.1 | 49th |
| Yards / carry | 5.66 | 8th | 3.78 | 38th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.1% | 61st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.94 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.56 | 46th | 2.50 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.9 | 66th | — | — |
81 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →