
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Western Illinois FCS | W 54–15 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 2Notre Dame | W 16–14 | +23.8 | — | NBC |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 86BuffaloCONF | L 20–23 | -9.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 78NC State | L 17–24 | -6.0 | — | CW |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 126Massachusetts | W 34–20 | -1.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 68Bowling GreenCONF | W 17–7 | +13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 73ToledoCONF | L 6–13 | -10.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 125Ball StateCONF | L 23–25 | -11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 6 | @ 103Western MichiganCONF | W 42–28 | +11.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 13 | vs 119AkronCONF | W 29–16 | +0.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 19 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 9–20 | -6.7 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 123Central MichiganCONF | W 24–16 | -5.4 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 85Fresno StateNEUTRAL | W 28–20 | +5.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 90th | 37.1% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 83rd | 41.4% | 49th |
| Passing success rate | 37.7% | 105th | 33.2% | 4th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 54th | 15.3% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 116th | 7.6% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.33 | 36th | 3.13 | 69th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.9% | 58th | 36.5% | 53rd |
| Stuff rate | 13.5% | 22nd | 14.4% | 102nd |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 41st | 7.3% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.1% | 63rd | 27.4% | 2nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.9% | 106th | 50.0% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 5.3% | 3rd | 6.9% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.5 | 96th | 18.5 | 12th |
| Yards / game | 382.2 | 72nd | 284.6 | 4th |
| Yards / play | 5.22 | 93rd | 4.51 | 8th |
| Pass yards / game | 178.5 | 118th | 156.1 | 7th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.25 | 125th | 6.03 | 10th |
| Completion % | 58.2% | 100th | 53.8% | 5th |
| Rush yards / game | 203.8 | 16th | 112.2 | 17th |
| Yards / carry | 4.71 | 46th | 3.54 | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.0% | 51st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 52nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 36th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.8 | 20th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →