
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 22Michigan | L 10–30 | -9.3 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Sacramento State FCS | W 46–30 | -8.2 | — | MWN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 129New Mexico State | W 48–0 | +14.8 | — | truTV |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 121New MexicoCONF | W 38–21 | +9.5 | — | truTV |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 29UNLVCONF | L 14–59 | -21.6 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 66Washington State | L 17–25 | -10.1 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 111NevadaCONF | W 24–21 | -2.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 88San José StateCONF | W 33–10 | +16.6 | — | truTV |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 110Hawai'iCONF | L 20–21 | -11.8 | — | Spectrum Sports PPV |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 106Air ForceCONF | L 28–36 | -12.3 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 98Colorado StateCONF | W 28–22 | -1.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 65UCLA | L 13–20 | -3.7 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 69Northern IllinoisNEUTRAL | L 20–28 | -7.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 103rd | 40.5% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.8% | 120th | 43.2% | 68th |
| Passing success rate | 41.3% | 63rd | 37.8% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.4% | 126th | 10.8% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 72nd | 7.6% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.77 | 120th | 2.94 | 41st |
| Opportunity rate | 30.2% | 131st | 34.7% | 31st |
| Stuff rate | 18.3% | 92nd | 17.2% | 61st |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 64th | 3.4% | 126th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.7% | 93rd | 35.8% | 26th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.7% | 21st | 57.1% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 73rd | 7.7% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.1 | 84th | 24.9 | 61st |
| Yards / game | 340.6 | 106th | 355.6 | 52nd |
| Yards / play | 5.25 | 92nd | 4.78 | 22nd |
| Pass yards / game | 242.5 | 46th | 202.5 | 62nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.30 | 69th | 6.00 | 8th |
| Completion % | 69.4% | 6th | 54.5% | 6th |
| Rush yards / game | 98.2 | 124th | 139.6 | 50th |
| Yards / carry | 3.33 | 120th | 3.82 | 41st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.5% | 74th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 52nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 74th | 1.85 | 75th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.3 | 85th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →