
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Merrimack FCS | W 21–6 | -9.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 88San José StateCONF | L 7–17 | -16.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 40Baylor | L 3–31 | -18.0 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 116WyomingCONF | L 19–31 | -18.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 36Navy | L 7–34 | -22.6 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 121New MexicoCONF | L 37–52 | -22.5 | — | truTV |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 98Colorado StateCONF | L 13–21 | -15.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 31Army | L 3–20 | -7.6 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 85Fresno StateCONF | W 36–28 | +2.3 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 99Oregon State | W 28–0 | +17.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 111NevadaCONF | W 22–19 | -2.4 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 124San Diego StateCONF | W 31–20 | +2.2 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.7% | 66th | 42.1% | 70th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 57th | 41.5% | 51st |
| Passing success rate | 30.5% | 130th | 42.9% | 94th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.6% | 129th | 15.3% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 18.4% | 2nd | 11.4% | 99th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.12 | 72nd | 3.14 | 72nd |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 109th | 37.6% | 61st |
| Stuff rate | 13.0% | 19th | 16.1% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 11.3% | 132nd | 5.5% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.9% | 34th | 39.7% | 66th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 49th | 70.6% | 112th |
| Havoc rate | 8.1% | 69th | 6.4% | 113th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.1 | 125th | 23.4 | 43rd |
| Yards / game | 313.8 | 124th | 341.9 | 40th |
| Yards / play | 4.55 | 128th | 5.78 | 91st |
| Pass yards / game | 89.8 | 133rd | 179.6 | 30th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.80 | 37th | 7.83 | 104th |
| Completion % | 44.9% | 133rd | 64.7% | 115th |
| Rush yards / game | 224.0 | 10th | 153.4 | 73rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.99 | 89th | 4.57 | 90th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.4% | 45th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 49th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.42 | 33rd | 1.50 | 112th |
| Penalty yards / game | 28.8 | 2nd | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →