The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Idaho State FCS | W 38–15 | -1.2 | — | CW |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 124San Diego State | W 21–0 | +12.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 6Oregon | L 14–49 | -14.9 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 122Purdue | W 38–21 | +4.0 | — | CW |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 98Colorado State | W 39–31 | +0.2 | — | CW |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 111Nevada | L 37–42 | -10.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 29UNLV | L 25–33 | -3.6 | — | CW |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 67California | L 7–44 | -25.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 88San José State | L 13–24 | -17.4 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 106Air Force | L 0–28 | -29.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 66Washington StateCONF | W 41–38 | +0.9 | — | CW |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 17Boise State | L 18–34 | -3.9 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.7% | 61st | 48.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 47.6% | 29th | 50.7% | 124th |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 93rd | 45.2% | 115th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 50th | 17.1% | 114th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 98th | 13.0% | 122nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 18th | 3.42 | 119th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 43rd | 42.4% | 113th |
| Stuff rate | 12.0% | 9th | 14.1% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 84th | 2.3% | 130th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.5% | 37th | 48.7% | 125th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.2% | 29th | 61.7% | 67th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 50th | 6.1% | 117th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.3 | 98th | 29.9 | 101st |
| Yards / game | 390.6 | 60th | 399.9 | 98th |
| Yards / play | 5.39 | 82nd | 6.46 | 125th |
| Pass yards / game | 201.4 | 95th | 210.8 | 79th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.71 | 102nd | 8.10 | 117th |
| Completion % | 60.0% | 83rd | 59.9% | 55th |
| Rush yards / game | 189.2 | 29th | 185.8 | 108th |
| Yards / carry | 4.69 | 48th | 5.32 | 125th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.7% | 31st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 72nd | 0.58 | 134th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.7 | 36th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →