
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 75Georgia Southern | W 56–45 | +12.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 6Oregon | L 34–37 | +15.4 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Portland State FCS | W 56–14 | +6.1 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 66Washington State | W 45–24 | +18.9 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 112Utah StateCONF | W 62–30 | +15.9 | — | FS2 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 110Hawai'iCONF | W 28–7 | +15.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 29UNLVCONF | W 29–24 | +14.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 124San Diego StateCONF | W 56–24 | +12.6 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 111NevadaCONF | W 28–21 | -3.8 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 88San José StateCONF | W 42–21 | +20.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 116WyomingCONF | W 17–13 | -2.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 99Oregon State | W 34–18 | +8.2 | — | FOX |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 29UNLV | W 21–7 | +18.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 4Penn StateNEUTRAL | L 14–31 | -0.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 20th | 37.5% | 15th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.0% | 37th | 38.2% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 47.5% | 14th | 36.9% | 29th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.5% | 33rd | 15.9% | 99th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 10.7% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 64th | 2.85 | 29th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 73rd | 35.6% | 43rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.5% | 79th | 21.5% | 15th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 12th | 11.1% | 1st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 7th | 38.3% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.4% | 9th | 60.0% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 6.0% | 9th | 11.9% | 8th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.3 | 9th | 22.7 | 36th |
| Yards / game | 466.0 | 8th | 363.7 | 60th |
| Yards / play | 6.62 | 7th | 5.31 | 62nd |
| Pass yards / game | 225.6 | 70th | 214.6 | 86th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.61 | 50th | 7.49 | 87th |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 48th | 60.5% | 68th |
| Rush yards / game | 240.4 | 8th | 122.3 | 31st |
| Yards / carry | 6.06 | 3rd | 3.78 | 37th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.2% | 7th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.86 | 20th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.07 | 12th | 3.93 | 2nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.2 | 40th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →