The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Idaho FCS | W 24–14 | -14.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 17Boise State | W 37–34 | +9.7 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 99Oregon State | W 49–14 | +25.5 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 65UCLACONF | W 34–13 | +24.3 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 90Michigan StateCONF | W 31–10 | +14.4 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 1Ohio StateCONF | W 32–31 | +20.1 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 122PurdueCONF | W 35–0 | +20.3 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 37IllinoisCONF | W 38–9 | +28.2 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 22MichiganCONF | W 38–17 | +31.7 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 81MarylandCONF | W 39–18 | +15.7 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 58WisconsinCONF | W 16–13 | +7.0 | — | NBC |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 42WashingtonCONF | W 49–21 | +26.8 | — | NBC |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 4Penn StateNEUTRAL | W 45–37 | +24.2 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 1Ohio StateNEUTRAL | L 21–41 | +1.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 28th | 37.3% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.7% | 12th | 42.4% | 59th |
| Passing success rate | 42.8% | 44th | 32.7% | 3rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 61st | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 47th | 8.4% | 27th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.48 | 14th | 3.25 | 88th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.8% | 15th | 38.3% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 26th | 12.7% | 122nd |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 38th | 7.0% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.1% | 13th | 34.9% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.5% | 37th | 57.1% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 5.3% | 3rd | 7.8% | 78th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.9 | 11th | 20.9 | 22nd |
| Yards / game | 437.4 | 22nd | 316.1 | 15th |
| Yards / play | 6.25 | 20th | 4.92 | 33rd |
| Pass yards / game | 279.5 | 13th | 170.5 | 23rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.51 | 14th | 6.20 | 17th |
| Completion % | 72.8% | 2nd | 55.7% | 13th |
| Rush yards / game | 157.9 | 72nd | 130.1 | 38th |
| Yards / carry | 4.43 | 63rd | 4.14 | 66th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.3% | 8th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.79 | 14th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 40th | 2.86 | 16th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.4 | 18th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →