
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 117Florida Atlantic | W 16–10 | -6.3 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 81MarylandCONF | W 27–24 | +3.1 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Prairie View A&M FCS | W 40–0 | +5.4 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 54Boston College | L 19–23 | +0.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 1Ohio StateCONF | L 7–38 | -7.3 | — | Peacock |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 6OregonCONF | L 10–31 | -2.6 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 21IowaCONF | W 32–20 | +17.3 | — | NBC |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 22MichiganCONF | L 17–24 | +3.7 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 8IndianaCONF | L 10–47 | -17.6 | — | Peacock |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 37IllinoisCONF | L 16–38 | -14.2 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 122PurdueCONF | W 24–17 | -6.0 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 52RutgersCONF | L 14–41 | -25.0 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 85th | 42.2% | 72nd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 63rd | 39.4% | 28th |
| Passing success rate | 37.8% | 104th | 44.9% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.8% | 66th | 13.2% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 60th | 11.3% | 96th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 117th | 2.90 | 37th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.5% | 56th | 34.8% | 33rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.7% | 116th | 19.4% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 107th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 69th | 48.9% | 126th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 116th | 67.4% | 95th |
| Havoc rate | 11.5% | 126th | 9.9% | 28th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.3 | 124th | 26.1 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 333.4 | 111th | 332.0 | 33rd |
| Yards / play | 5.11 | 105th | 5.23 | 54th |
| Pass yards / game | 218.1 | 79th | 197.3 | 52nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.41 | 60th | 7.32 | 78th |
| Completion % | 60.1% | 82nd | 60.8% | 70th |
| Rush yards / game | 115.3 | 110th | 125.1 | 32nd |
| Yards / carry | 3.51 | 114th | 3.71 | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.3% | 84th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 117th | 1.58 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.3 | 111th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →